Uncategorized
Crypto Daybook Americas: Bitcoin Reverses Gains as China Ramps Up Tariff Retaliation

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)
Major coins reversed early gains after Beijing stepped up trade tensions by announcing retaliatory tariffs following President Donald Trump’s Wednesday decision to impose additional levies on China and other nations.
Bitcoin dropped to $83,000 from $84,600, though the downside appeared limited, probably because the market’s worst fears have finally come true. Markets dislike uncertainty, and the anticipation of a looming threat often creates more anxiety and fear than the actual realization of that threat.
Since Trump took office on Jan. 20, markets have been wrestling with the threat of tariffs and a global trade war. That damped investor risk appetite, causing the BTC price to tumble from a record high over $109,000 to below $80,000 last month.
This week, Trump announced sweeping tariffs on 180 nations, with higher levies on China, the European Union and Southeast Asia. The effective U.S. tariff rate is now above the level of around 20% set by the 1930’s Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act.
This so-called tariffagedon moment marks the end of lingering uncertainty and could be liberating for markets, mainly because bond yields have dropped across the advanced world in the aftermath, pricing in disinflation. That’s contrary to the popular narrative that tariffs would lead to stagflation — high inflation plus low growth — forcing the Fed to keep interest rates elevated.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year bond yield has dropped below 4% for the first time since October and yields have fallen sharply in the U.K., Germany and Japan. Plus, oil has declined sharply this week on prospects of higher supply from OPEC countries.
All this bodes well for Fed rate cut bets and risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. The same can be said for Friday’s March jobs report, which, if it beats estimates, will likely be seen as backward-looking, failing to account for this week’s Trump tariffs, while a weak print will only add to Fed rate cuts.
With the major macro uncertainty behind us, the crypto market could return to focusing on positive developments, such as USDC issuer Circle’s IPO filing and technological advancements.
On Thursday, Coinbase Derivatives submitted documentation to the CFTC to self-certify futures for XRP. In addition, Ethereum developers chose May 7 as the date for the Pectra upgrade to go live on the mainnet.
Elsewhere, the SEC acknowledged Fidelity’s filing for a spot exchange-traded fund tied to SOL, which takes it closer to approval. A lot is happening within the industry, so stay alert!
What to Watch
Crypto:
April 5: The purported birthday of Satoshi Nakamoto.
April 7, 7:30 p.m.: Syscoin (SYS) activates the Nexus upgrade on its mainnet at block 2,010,345.
April 9, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. House Financial Services Committee hearing about how U.S. securities laws could be updated to take into account digital assets. Livestream link.
April 17: EigenLayer (EIGEN) activates slashing on Ethereum mainnet, enforcing penalties for operator misconduct.
April 21: Coinbase Derivatives will list XRP futures pending approval by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Macro
April 4, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases March employment data.
Nonfarm Payrolls Est. 135K vs. Prev. 151K
Unemployment Rate Est. 4.1% vs. Prev. 4.1%
April 4, 8:30 a.m.: Statistics Canada releases March employment data.
Unemployment Rate Est. 6.7% vs. Prev. 6.6%
April 4, 11:25 a.m.: Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell will give a speech titled “Economic Outlook.” Livestream link.
April 5, 12:01 a.m.: The Trump administration’s 10% baseline tariff on imports from all countries takes effect.
April 9, 12:01 a.m.: The Trump administration’s higher individualized tariffs on imports from top U.S. trade-deficit countries take effect.
April 14: Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele will join President Donald Trump at the White House for an official working visit.
Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
No earnings scheduled.
Token Events
Governance votes & calls
Sky DAO is voting on an executive proposal that includes initializing ALLOCATOR-BLOOM-A, updating the Smart Burn Engine’s hop parameter, approving the Spark Tokenization Grand Prix DAO resolution and executing a Spark Proxy Spell to expand SparkLend’s liquidity operations. Voting ends May 3.
AaveDAO is discussing an upgrade to GHO Savings to introduce a technical design change to sGHO, a yield-bearing version of GHO designed for multichain integration. It also introduces the Aave Savings Rate (ASR) that will determine sGHO’s yield.
April 4, 9 a.m.: Core DAO to host an Ask Me Anything (AMA) session.
April 4, 2 p.m.: Sei’s research initiative to hold a livestream on real-world asset tokenization.
April 7, 9 a.m.: OriginTrail to host a “Shaping AI for Good” Zoom talk.
April 7, 4 p.m.: Livepeer to host a monthly community call focused on governance, funding, and the strategic direction of its on-chain treasury.
Unlocks
April 5: Ethena (ENA) to unlock 3.25% of its circulating supply worth $54.22 million.
April 7: Kaspa (KAS) to unlock 0.59% of its circulating supply worth $10.17 million.
April 9: Movement (MOVE) to unlock 2.04% of its circulating supply worth $19.17 million.
April 12: Aptos (APT) to unlock 1.87% of its circulating supply worth $57 million.
April 12: Axie Infinity (AXS) to unlock 5.68% of its circulating supply worth $24.91 million.
Token Listings
April 4: Pintu (PTU), Spartan Protocol (SPARTA), Derby Stars (DSRUN), Veloce (VEXT), BOB and KryptoniteSEILOR) to be deslisted from Bybit.
April 9: IOST airdrop claims portal for a roughly 1.7 billion IOST token airdrop to open.
April 22: Hyperlane to airdrop its HYPER tokens.
Conferences
CoinDesk’s Consensus is taking place in Toronto on May 14-16. Use code DAYBOOK and save 15% on passes.
Day 3 of 4: ETH Bucharest Conference & Hackathon (Romania)
Day 2 of 4: BitBlockBoom (Dallas)
April 6-9: Hong Kong Web3 Festival
April 8-10: Paris Blockchain Week
April 10: Bitcoin Educators Unconference (Nashville)
April 15-16: BUIDL Asia 2025 (Seoul)
April 22-24: Money20/20 Asia (Bangkok)
April 23: Crypto Horizons 2025 (Dubai)
April 23-24: Blockchain Forum 2025 (Moscow)
April 24: Bitwise’s Investor Day for Bitcoin Standard Corporations (New York)
Token Talk
By Shaurya Malwa
Infected, a crypto game, moves to Solana from Base network after saying the latter couldn’t handle its launch.
Infected claimed it faced technical issues during the start-up and Base was unable to handle high transaction volumes, leading to gas price spikes and a poor user experience.
It reported that a gas spike caused transaction failures during the critical first 30 minutes of the game’s debut, disrupting momentum.
Although front-end issues were suspected initially, the team concluded that Base’s scalability limitations were the root cause, a problem they say persists across Ethereum-based chains.
Jesse Pollak, the creator of Base, rejected the claims, asserting that Base operated smoothly and did not crash. He emphasized that Base, with a $3.05 billion total value locked and 1.2 million active addresses, had offered support to resolve front-end issues, suggesting the problem was not inherent to the chain.
Base developer ‘Saedeh’ called out Infected’s inexperience, pointing to its introduction of multiple tokens and exaggerated market cap claims as missteps.
Derivatives Positioning
BTC, ETH puts are trading at a premium relative to calls out to June expiry, representing near-term downside concerns.
The positive dealer gamma at the $83K and $84K strikes means these market participants could trade against the market to hedge their books, potentially arresting price volatility.
Perpetual funding rates for most major tokens, excluding XRP and AVAX, remain marginally positive, implying cautiously bullish sentiment.
Market Movements
BTC is up 1.25% from 4 p.m. ET Thursday at $83,032.61 (24hrs: -0.28%)
ETH is up 0.61% at $1,795.41 (24hrs: +0.15%)
CoinDesk 20 is up 1.54% at 2,479.75 (24hrs: +0.62%)
Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 6 bps at 3.08%
BTC funding rate is at 0.0023% (2.4988% annualized) on Binance
DXY is up 0.47% at 102.56
Gold is up 0.48% at $3,111.90/oz
Silver is down 1.38% at $31.40/oz
Nikkei 225 closed -2.75% at 33,780.58
Hang Seng closed -1.52% at 22,849.81
FTSE is down 3.4% at 8,186.43
Euro Stoxx 50 is down 4.26% at 4,895.26
DJIA closed on Thursday -3.98% at 40,545.93
S&P 500 closed -4.84% at 5,396.52
Nasdaq closed -5.97% at 16,550.61
S&P/TSX Composite Index closed -3.84% at 24,335.8
S&P 40 Latin America closed +0.21% at 2,453.38
U.S. 10-year Treasury rate is down 13 bps at 3.9%
E-mini S&P 500 futures are down 2.17% at 5,315.00
E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are down 2.34%% at 18,238.75
E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are down 2.26% at 39,854
Bitcoin Stats:
BTC Dominance: 63 (0.31%)
Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.02162 (-1.05%)
Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 839 EH/s
Hashprice (spot): $46.31
Total Fees: 5.78 BTC / $478,070
CME Futures Open Interest: 135,025 BTC
BTC priced in gold: 27.1 oz
BTC vs gold market cap: 7.69%
Technical Analysis
The ratio between the dollar prices of bitcoin and gold is looking to trend lower.
Gold, however, may see a «sell the fact» pullback in the wake of Wednesday’s Trump tariffs, potentially leading to a breakout in the BTC-gold ratio.
Such a move could be taken a sign of a renewed bull run in BTC, as the cryptocurrency tends to rally after gold.
Crypto Equities
Strategy (MSTR): closed on Thursday at $282.28 (-9.68%), down 1.11% at $279.14 in pre-market
Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $170.76 (-6.66%), down 3.29% at $165.14
Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at C$15.08 (-11.81%)
MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $11.23 (-9.58%), down 3.29% at $10.86
Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $7.30 (-8.98%), down 3.15% at $7.07
Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $7.15 (-15.08%), down 1.96% at $7.01
CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $7.41 (-7.61%), down 3.51% at $7.15
CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $12.75 (-10.46%), down 0.16% at $12.73
Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $34.06 (-8.02%), down 6.05% at $32
Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $42.63 (-9.93%), down 0.09% at $42.59
ETF Flows
Spot BTC ETFs:
Daily net flow: -$99.8 million
Cumulative net flows: $36.23 billion
Total BTC holdings ~ 1.11 million.
Spot ETH ETFs
Daily net flow: -$3.6 million
Cumulative net flows: $2.37 billion
Total ETH holdings ~ 3.39 million.
Source: Farside Investors
Overnight Flows
Chart of the Day
The global search interest for the term «tariffs» reached a peak value of 100 on Thursday, indicating heightened curiosity and concern about trade taxes among the general public over the past 90 days.
Peak interest among the general populace usually marks the end of a trend, meaning markets could soon be looking past tariffs.
While You Were Sleeping
Bitcoin Falls Back to $83K as China Announces 34% Tariffs on All U.S. Goods (CoinDesk): China announced retaliatory tariffs on all goods from the U.S.
March Jobs Report a ‘Heads I Win, Tails You Lose’ Moment for Bitcoin Bulls (CoinDesk): Bitcoin’s price stability above March lows suggests seller fatigue, with implied volatility indicating a potential 3.4% price swing in the next 24 hours.
South Korea’s President Yoon Ousted as Court Upholds Impeachment (Reuters): The Constitutional Court said Yoon overstepped his powers by declaring martial law. An election must be held within 60 days, with Prime Minister Han Duck-soo serving as interim president.
Inflation Fears Add to Pressure on Federal Reserve (Financial Times): Markets now see short-term U.S. inflation rising at its fastest pace since 2022.
Solana’s SOL Could See Nearly 6% Price Swing as Whales Dump Coins Before U.S. Jobs Data (CoinDesk): Volmex’s one-day implied volatility index indicates SOL may see a 6% price swing as large investors offload holdings ahead of the U.S. non-farm payroll report.
China’s Response to New U.S. Tariffs Will Likely Focus More on Stimulus, Building Trade Ties (CNBC): China is likely to respond by boosting stimulus, deepening Asian and African trade ties, and keeping the yuan strong to shift inflationary pressure onto the U.S., analysts said.
In the Ether
Uncategorized
Crypto Daybook Americas: Trump’s Fed Outburst Fails to Jolt Bitcoin

Welcome to your Good Friday edition of the daybook. With markets on a shortened schedule for the Easter holiday, today’s update is shortened as well. CoinDesk’s Crypto Daybook Americas will be back to its regular size on Monday, April 21. Enjoy the holiday!
By Francisco Rodrigues (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)
It’s Easter. Traditional markets are closed in many parts of the world and plenty of people are taking a break from work, and that’s keeping crypto markets in check as well. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the biggest, most active cryptocurrencies, has gained less than 0.1% in the past 24 hours with bitcoin (BTC) up just 0.1%.
That’s a pretty muted response to calls from President Donald Trump for the removal of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Trump criticized Powell over his reluctance to cut interest rates, further adding to the economy uncertainty that has left bitcoin treading water and seen Wall Street piling onto gold.
Trump, on his social media platform Truth Social, said Powell was “too late” in lowering interest rates, saying his “termination cannot come fast enough!” The President’s words come after Powell said the central bank sees unemployment and inflation rising because of the tariffs Trump imposed on most other countries.
The tit-for-tat has further raised uncertainty, to the point the S&P 500 closed the shortened trading week up just 0.1%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped 0.1%.
«Right now, markets are extremely reactionary to White House decision making and are poised to remain that way for the foreseeable future,” Ira Auerbach, head of tandem at Offchain Labs and former head of digital assets as Nasdaq, told CoinDesk.
“Trump’s push for rate cuts amid tariff-driven inflation risks could reignite bitcoin’s original ‘hedge against eroding purchasing power’ narrative. Its recent risk-off behavior may be short-lived as monetary policy uncertainty intensifies.»
For the time being, though, the hedge against currency debasement and uncertainty appears to be gold. The precious metal’s recent bull run has meant that, over the last 20 years, it’s outperforming the S&P 500. That’s including dividends.
For crypto investors, signals are mixed. While on the macro front uncertainty reigns, under the Trump administration regulatory outlook has been improving and institutions have shown more comfort with the space.
“It is probably sound to ‘let the dust settle’ as tariff implementations and bilateral negotiations unfold,” dYdX Foundation CEO Charles d’Haussy told CoinDesk. “Market participants’ consensus seems to signal central banks’ action past the summer.” Stay alert!
What to Watch
- Crypto:
- April 18: Pepecoin (PEP), a layer-1, proof-of-work blockchain, undergoes its second halving, reducing block rewards to 15,625 PEP.
- April 20, 11 p.m.: BNB Chain (BNB) — opBNB mainnet hardfork.
- April 21: Coinbase Derivatives will list XRP futures pending approval by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
- April 25, 1 p.m.: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Crypto Task Force Roundtable on «Key Considerations for Crypto Custody«.
- Macro
- April 18, 10 a.m.: Argentina’s Torcuato Di Tella University releases April consumer confidence data.
- Consumer Confidence Prev. 44.1
- April 22, 8:30 p.m.: Statistics Canada releases Mach producer price inflation data.
- PPI MoM Prev. 0.4%
- PPI YoY Prev. 4.9%
- April 22, 6 p.m.: Fed Governor Adriana D. Kugler will deliver a speech titled «Transmission of Monetary Policy.»
- April 18, 10 a.m.: Argentina’s Torcuato Di Tella University releases April consumer confidence data.
- Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
Token Events
- Governance votes & calls
- Treasure DAO is discussing handing authority to the core contributor team to wind down and shut down Treasure Chain infrastructure on ZKsync and manage the primary MAGIC-ETH Protocol-Owned Liquidity pool given the “crucial financial situation” of the protocol.
- Unlocks
- April 18: Official Trump (TRUMP) to unlock 20.25% of its circulating supply worth $314.23 million.
- April 18: Fasttoken (FTN) to unlock 4.65% of its circulating supply worth $84.4 million.
- April 18: Official Melania Meme (MELANIA) to unlock 6.73% of its circulating supply worth $10.72 million.
- April 18: UXLINK (UXLINK) to unlock 11.09% of its circulating supply worth $16.52 million.
- April 18: Immutable (IMX) to unlock 1.37% of its circulating supply worth $10.03 million.
- April 22: Metars Genesis (MRS) to unlock 11.87% of its circulating supply worth $126.7 million.
- April 30: Optimism (OP) to unlock 1.89% of its circulating supply worth $20.74 million.
- May 1: Sui (SUI) to unlock 2.28% of its circulating supply worth $156.87 million.
- May 1: ZetaChain (ZETA) to unlock 5.67% of its circulating supply worth $10.32 million.
- Token Launches
- April 22: Hyperlane to airdrop its HYPER tokens.
- April 22: BNB to be listed on Kraken.
Conferences:
- CoinDesk’s Consensus is taking place in Toronto on May 14-16. Use code DAYBOOK and save 15% on passes.
- April 22-24: Money20/20 Asia (Bangkok)
- April 23: Crypto Horizons 2025 (Dubai)
- April 23-24: Blockchain Forum 2025 (Moscow)
- April 24: Bitwise’s Investor Day for Bitcoin Standard Corporations (New York)
- April 26: Crypto Vision Conference 2025 (Manilla)
- April 26-27: Harvard Blockchain in Action Conference (Cambridge, Mass.)
- April 27: N Crypto Conference 2025 (Kyiv)
- April 27-30: Web Summit Rio 2025
- April 28-29: Blockchain Disrupt 2025 (Dubai)
- April 28-29: Staking Summit Dubai
- April 29: El Salvador Digital Assets Summit 2025 (San Salvador, El Salvador)
- April 29: IFGS 2025 (London)
Token Talk
By Francisco Rodrigues
- The memecoin trading frenzy doesn’t appear to over quite yet. Since token-launch protocol Pump.fun introduced its trading platform PumpSwap in March, volumes have skyrocketed.
- According to Artemis data, Solana-based Pump.fun was seeing roughly $110 million of trading volume a day before the PumpSwap debut. That figure exploded to $650 million on April 17, with $444 million being traded on PumpSwap.
- Daily transaction volumes on the platform now top 40,000, roughly double the figures seen before PumpSwap’s launch, Dune data shows.
- The heightened trading volume helped Pump.fun’s 24-hour revenue top that of layer-1 network Tron, bringing in roughly $2 million over the period. The figure is also above that of platforms like Hyperliquid and Aave.
- Outside of Solana, other networks have seen their share of trading activity. Even Nasdaq-listed exchange Coinbase found itself embroiled in alleged front-running after three wallets bought its “Base is for everyone” token before the launch was announced.
Market Movements:
- BTC is down 0.69% from 4 p.m. ET Thursday at $84,550 (24hrs: +0.30%)
- ETH is up 0.15% at $1,587.85 (24hrs: -0.36%)
- CoinDesk 20 is up 1% at 2,460.30 (24hrs: +0.2%)
- Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 15 bps at 2.98%
- BTC funding rate is at 0.0069% (7.5927% annualized) on Binance
- DXY is unchanged at 99.38
- Gold is down 0.54% at $3308.8/oz
- Silver is down 1.55% at $32.42/oz
- Nikkei 225 closed +1.03% at 34,730
- Hang Seng closed +1.61% at 21,395
- FTSE closed Thursday at 8275.66.
- Euro Stoxx 50 is down 0.63% at 4935.34
- DJIA closed on Thursday -1.33% at 39,142
- S&P 500 closed +0.13% at 5282.7
- Nasdaq Composite closed -0.13% at 16,286.45,
- S&P/TSX Composite Index closed +0.36% at 16,286.45
- S&P 40 Latin America is up 1.64% at 2,383.75
- E-mini S&P 500 futures are down 0.13% at 5,312.75
- E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are down 0.02% at 18,380
- E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are down 1.31% at 39,329
Bitcoin Stats:
- BTC Dominance: 63.91 (-0.18%)
- Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.019 (0.54%)
- Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 913 EH/s
- Hashprice (spot): $44.32
- Total Fees: 6.01 BTC
- CME Futures Open Interest: 141,280
- BTC priced in gold: 25.5 oz.
- BTC vs gold market cap: 7.23%
Crypto Equities
- Strategy (MSTR): closed on Thursday at $317.20 (1.78%), down 0.30% at $316.35 in pre-market
- Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $175.03 (1.64%)
- Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at C$15.36 (-1.41%)
- MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $12.66 (2.76%), up 0.16% at $12.68
- Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $6.46 (1.57%)
- Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $6.63 (0.61%), up 0.29% at $6.65
- CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $7.51 (3.16%), up 0.27% at $7.53
- CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $12.04 (1.09%), up 0.42% at 12.09
- Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $32.49 (4.79%), up 2.60% at $33.33
- Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $36.58 (-1.64%), up 4.98% at $38.40
ETF Flows
Spot BTC ETFs:
- Daily net flow: $ 106.9 million
- Cumulative net flows: $ 35.5 billion
- Total BTC holdings ~ 1.11 million
Spot ETH ETFs
- Daily net flow: $ 0 million
- Cumulative net flows: $ 2.26 billion
- Total ETH holdings ~ 3.31 million
Source: Farside Investors
Overnight Flows
While You Were Sleeping
- U.S. Will Abandon Ukraine Peace Efforts if No Progress Made Soon, Rubio Says (Reuters): After Paris talks, the Secretary of State said Washington may shift focus unless it sees within days that a deal is achievable in the next few weeks.
- Ukraine Says It Has Signed the Outline of a Minerals Deal With the U.S. (CNBC): The memorandum of intent signed Thursday will serve as the basis for what Scott Bessent says is an 80-page agreement that will be signed by April 26.
- HashKey Capital to Debut Asian XRP Tracker Fund With Ripple as Anchor Investor (CoinDesk): The HashKey XRP Tracker Fund will give professional investors XRP exposure.
- Deutsche Bank Sees More China Clients Moving Out of U.S. Assets (Bloomberg): Chinese commercial investors are shifting from U.S. Treasuries to eurozone bonds, Japanese debt and gold as concerns over U.S. trade policy mount, says Deutsche Bank’s Lillian Tao.
- Japan Does Not Manipulate FX to Weaken the Yen, Finmin Says (Reuters): Japan last intervened to strengthen the yen, not weaken it, the finance minister said in response to Donald Trump’s accusation it is manipulating the currency to boost exports.
In the Ether
Uncategorized
HashKey Capital to Debut Asian XRP Tracker Fund With Ripple as Anchor Investor

HashKey Capital announced what it says is the first investment fund in Asia designed to track the performance of XRP, the digital asset used in Ripple’s global payment infrastructure.
The new fund, called the HashKey XRP Tracker Fund, will be open to professional investors and will allow exposure to XRP without the need to manage the asset directly. It will offer the ability to buy through cash and in-kind subscriptions, and offers monthly liquidity.
Ripple will be an early backer of the fund. The investment deepens its strategic ties with HashKey, which already has Hong Kong-listed spot ETFs for bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH).
The company will continue to partner with Ripple on additional financial products, Vivien Wong, a partner at HashKey Capital, said in a statement. One possibility includes tokenizing a money market fund on the XRP Ledger.
Ripple’s Asia-Pacific managing director Fiona Murray said the partnership with HashKey is part of a broader push to bring more regulated crypto products to institutions in the region.
Uncategorized
Bitcoin in Standstill at $85K as Trump Increases Pressure on Fed’s Powell

Bitcoin (BTC) was treading water just below $85,000 late Thursday as tensions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell added another layer of uncertainty for investors.
Markets dipped on Wednesday after hawkish comments from Powell, who criticized Trump’s tariffs policy, saying that it would likely result in a slowing economy and rising prices — what economists call “stagflation.» In his remarks, Powell made clear his larger focus for now would be on prices, suggesting tighter Fed policy than otherwise thought.
Trump — who nominated the former investment banker and lawyer as Fed chair during his first term (Powell was given a second four-year term by President Biden) — has expressed his displeasure with Powell since retaking the White House. Powell, though, who is set to remain atop the central bank until May 2026, has repeatedly stated his determination to finish his term and suggested the president has no standing to fire him.
On Thursday, the WSJ reported that Trump has been privately discussing firing Powell for months, according to people familiar with the matter. Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is reportedly waiting in the wings as Powell’s replacement, but Warsh has lobbied the president not to move against the Fed chair, according to the story.
Joining Warsh in that warning is Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who said the move could roil already shaky U.S. markets as the central bank is supposed to be independent from political influences.
Odds of Trump removing Powell this year on the blockchain-based prediction market Polymarket rose to 19%, the highest reading since the contract’s late January launch.
Trump’s comments came on the back of the European Central Bank (ECB) cutting key interest rates for the seventh consecutive occasion on Thursday as it warned of a deteriorating growth outlook.
More pressure on markets came from the latest Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, published Thursday morning, which showed a nosedive in activity this month, sinking to its lowest level (-26.4) in two years. Meanwhile, the prices paid index climbed to its highest reading since July 2022, adding to concerns about the Trump administration’s large-scale tariff policy pushing the U.S. economy into stagflation.
The S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq stock indexes traded mostly flat during the day.
A look at the crypto market showed BTC and Ethereum’s ETH up 0.8% over the past 24 hours. Most assets in the CoinDesk 20 Index traded higher during the day, with bitcoin cash (BCH), NEAR and AAVE leading gains.
How bitcoin traders position amid heightened fear on Wall Street ?
Bitcoin has stabilized between $83k and $86k with traders chasing bullish bets while still seeking downside protection.
On Deribit, traders are actively chasing calls at the 90k to $100k strikes expiring in May and June, the exchange said in a market update Thursday. The demand for calls indicates expectations for a continued price rally.
Some of these bullish bets have been funded by premiums collected by selling put options.
At the same time, there has been renewed interest in buying put options at $80k expiring this month, representing preparations for potential price declines. Buying a put option is akin to purchasing insurance against price slides.
The diverse two-way flow comes as the VIX, Wall Street’s fear gauge measuring the 30-day implied volatility, still remains well above its 50-day average, despite the pullback from recent highs above 50.
The VIX is warning that the macro situation is still unraveling rather than resolving, the exchange said on X.
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