Uncategorized
Crypto Daybook Americas: Trump Tariff Threat Casts Shadow Over Buoyant Bitcoin Price

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)
Bitcoin is building momentum, rising over 2% on the day to over $84,000, with memecoins leading the market higher, followed by tokens associated with artificial intelligence and gaming. In traditional markets, gold set another record, surpassing $3,140, and futures linked to major U.S. equity indices are pointing to a positive open.
President Donald Trump pledged a «very kind» yet firm approach toward all trading partners ahead of Wednesday’s planned reciprocal tariffs announcement.
Still, market flows reveal nervousness likely stemming from tariff uncertainty. An aggressive move could ratchet up inflation expectations, which would lower risk asset prices, including cryptocurrencies.
Reports suggest that the Treasury and other federal agencies are expected to disclose their holdings of bitcoin and other tokens on April 5, That’s in accordance with the March 11 document that called for such an action within 30 days of Trump’s March 6 decision to issue an executive order to form a strategic crypto reserve.
Still, some indicators call for caution. For instance, bitcoin’s one-year percentage change is approaching the negative zone, according to crypto research firm Alphractal. «Out of the four times this has happened, three led to bearish movements, while one had no significant effect,» the firm said.
BTC’s apparent demand by 30-day change, derived from the flow of coins into exchanges and adjusted for factors including net outflows, now shows the most negative values in over a year, according to data source CryptoQuant.
Speaking of the broader market, decentralized AI data liquidity network Vana unveiled the VRC-20 data token standard for fair and transparent data token transactions. «For data markets to work, tokens must be reliable, secure, and useful. As a universal standard for data-backed tokens, VRC-20 delivers this by ensuring fair and transparent data token trading,» Vana said on X.
Elsewhere, the MOVE Index, which measures the 30-day implied volatility for the U.S. Treasury notes, is rising. A volatile Treasury market often causes financial tightening worldwide, leading to reduced demand for risk assets. Stay alert!
What to Watch
Crypto:
April 1: ONINO (ONI) will have its mainnet launch.
April 2, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. House Financial Services Committee hearing for marking up various measures, including H.R. 2392, the Stablecoin Transparency and Accountability for a Better Ledger Economy (STABLE) Act of 2025, and H.R. 1919, the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act. Livestream link.
April 2: XIONMarkets (XION) will have its mainnet launch.
April 5: The alleged birthday of Satoshi Nakamoto.
April 9, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. House Financial Services Committee hearing about how the U.S. securities laws could be updated to take into account digital assets. Livestream link.
Macro
April 1, 9:00 a.m.: S&P Global releases Brazil March purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data.
Manufacturing PMI Prev. 53
April 1, 9:30 a.m.: S&P Global releases Canada March purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data.
Manufacturing PMI Prev. 47.8
April 1, 9:45 a.m.: S&P Global releases (Final) U.S. March purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data.
Manufacturing PMI Est. 49.8 vs. Prev. 52.7
April 1, 10:00 a.m.: The U.S. Department of Labor releases February JOLTs report (job openings, hires, and separations).
Job Openings Est. 7.63M vs. Prev. 7.74M
Job Quits Prev. 3.266M
April 1, 10:00 a.m.: The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) releases March U.S. manufacturing sector data.
ISM Manufacturing PMI Est. 49.5 vs. Prev. 50.3
April 2: Trump administration’s “Liberation Day” reciprocal tariffs will get announced.
April 2, 4:30 p.m.: Fed Governor Adriana D. Kugler will give a speech titled “Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policymaking.” Livestream link.
April 3, 12:01 a.m.: The 25% tariff on imported automobiles and certain parts announced March 26 becomes effective.
April 3, 12:30 p.m.: Fed Vice Chair Philip N. Jefferson will give a speech titled “U.S. Economic Outlook and Central Bank Communications.” Livestream link.
April 4, 11:25 a.m.: Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell will give a speech titled “Economic Outlook.” Livestream link.
Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
No earnings scheduled.
Token Events
Governance votes & calls
Arbitrum DAO is voting on converting 15 million ARB into stablecoins to be managed via a “33/33/33 split among Karpatkey, Avantgarde & Myso, and Gauntlet.” It’s also voting on allocating 10 million ARB into “on-chain strategies designed to generate yield while safeguarding the principal.” Voting ends April 3.
Sky DAO is discussing increasing the Smart Burn Engine (SBE) rate after a recent executive proposal “resulted in substantial increase to net revenue.”
Unlocks
April 1: Sui (SUI) to unlock 2.03% of its circulating supply worth $143.15 million.
April 1: ZetaChain (ZETA) to unlock 6.05% of its circulating supply worth $12.85 million.
April 2: Ethena (ENA) to unlock 0.77% of its circulating supply worth $14.07 million.
April 3: Wormhole (W) to unlock 47.64% of its circulating supply worth $112.67 million.
April 9: Movement (MOVE) to unlock 2.04% of its circulating supply worth $20.23 million.
Token Listings
April 1: Bybit to delist CEL, MXM, ZEND, CTT, BONUS, LGX, PLT
Conferences
CoinDesk’s Consensus is taking place in Toronto on May 14-16. Use code DAYBOOK and save 15% on passes.
April 2-3: Southeast Asia Blockchain Week 2025 Main Conference (Bangkok)
April 2-5: ETH Bucharest Conference & Hackathon (Romania)
April 3-6: BitBlockBoom (Dallas)
April 6-9: Hong Kong Web3 Festival
April 8-10: Paris Blockchain Week
April 10: Bitcoin Educators Unconference (Nashville)
April 15-16: BUIDL Asia 2025 (Seoul)
Token Talk
By Shaurya Malwa
A hacker involved in February’s multimillion exploit of the zkLend DeFi protocol said they inadvertently sent their stolen funds to a phishing site posing as mixing service Tornado Cash.
The hacker lost all 2,930 ETH stolen from zkLend to the apparent phishing attack, according to Lookchain and blockchain data.
They then sent an on-chain message via Etherscan to zkLend apologizing for the «havoc and losses caused,» claimed to no longer hold the stolen funds and urged zkLend to redirect recovery efforts toward the phishing site’s operators.
Market watchers expressed skepticism, suggesting the alleged phishing site was set up by the hacker in an attempt to shift scrutiny away from the attackers’ known wallets to the address that purportedly ended up thieving the thief.
zkLend responded by requesting the hacker to return any remaining funds. The protocol has been actively working on fund recovery, having launched a «Recovery Portal» on March 5, to compensate affected users, and is collaborating with security teams, centralized exchanges and authorities to trace the stolen assets.
Derivatives Positioning
Open interest in futures tied to TON, TRX, HYPE, SHIB and XMR has increased in the past 24 hours while the remaining major coins, including BTC, saw a drop in open bets.
Perpetual funding rates for BTC, ETH and most other top coins remain below an annualized 5%, indicating cautiously bullish sentiment.
Deribit’s BTC and ETH options continue to show a bias for short- and near-dated puts with bullishness seen only from July expiry.
Market Movements
BTC is up 2.19% from 4 p.m. ET Monday at $84,236.71 (24hrs: +2.47%)
ETH is up 3.34% at $1,880.62(24hrs: +3.34%)
CoinDesk 20 is up 3.16% at 2,579.16 (24hrs: +5.15%)
Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 10 bps at 3.03%
BTC funding rate is at 0.0032% (3.5150% annualized) on Binance
DXY is unchanged at 104.12
Gold is up 1.18% at $3,159.80/oz
Silver is up 0.99% at $34.80/oz
Nikkei 225 closed unchanged at 35,624.48
Hang Seng closed +0.38% at 23,206.84
FTSE is up 0.9% at 8,660.19
Euro Stoxx 50 is up 1.2% at 5,311.30
DJIA closed on Monday +1% at 42,001.76
S&P 500 closed +0.55% at 5,611.85
Nasdaq closed -0.14% at 17,299.29
S&P/TSX Composite Index closed +0.64% at 24,917.50
S&P 40 Latin America closed -0.96% at 2,406.22
U.S. 10-year Treasury rate is down 3 bps at 4.185%
E-mini S&P 500 futures are unchanged at 5,656.00
E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.22% at 19,482.25
E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are down 0.12% at 42,207.00
Bitcoin Stats:
BTC Dominance: 62.18 (-0.21%)
Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.02236 (1.31%)
Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 835.3 EH/s
Hashprice (spot): $46.93
Total Fees: 4.9 BTC / $406,290
CME Futures Open Interest: 135,210 BTC
BTC priced in gold: 26.8 oz
BTC vs gold market cap: 7.6%
Technical Analysis
BTC has moved past the yellow trendline, confirming an inverse head-and-shoulders breakout to suggest the path of least resistance is on the higher side.
The 24-hour simple moving average is now trending north, indicating a renewed upward momentum.
Prices could rise toward the descending (white) trendline resistance, currently at $87,200.
Crypto Equities
Strategy (MSTR): closed on Monday at $288.27 (-0.39%), up 2.54% at $295.60 in pre-market
Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $172.23 (-0.98%), up 1.78% at $175.30
Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at C$15.17 (-7.78%)
MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $11.50 (-7.78%), up 2.7% at $11.81
Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $7.12 (-3.91%), up 1.69% at $7.22
Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $7.24 (-3.21%), up 0.83% at $7.30
CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $6.72 (-6.54%), up 3.13% at $6.93
CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $12.77 (-2.74%), down 2.51% at $12.80
Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $36.20 (-1.79%)
Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $45.74 (-4.39%), up 2.25% at $46.77
ETF Flows
Spot BTC ETFs:
Daily net flow: -$60.6 million
Cumulative net flows: $36.27 billion
Total BTC holdings ~ 1.12 million.
Spot ETH ETFs
Daily net flow: $6.4 million
Cumulative net flows: $2.43 billion
Total ETH holdings ~ 3.41 million.
Source: Farside Investors
Overnight Flows
Chart of the Day
Tron, BNB Chain and Celo are the past year’s top three blockchains by the number of active stablecoin addresses.
Ethereum lags even though the stablecoin supply on the smart-contract blockchain recently surged to all-time high over $132 billion.
While You Were Sleeping
China Kicks Off Military Drills Near Taiwan, Warns Island’s ‘Independence’ Means War (CNBC): China said its military actions were punishment for Taiwan’s leadership, simulating multidirectional encirclement and coordinated strikes on key areas to demonstrate combat readiness.
Ethereum Reclaims No. 1 Spot as Leading DEX Chain for First Time Since September, Overtakes Solana (CoinDesk): Bearish market sentiment, particularly within the memecoin sector, led to a significant decline in activity on Solana-based platforms Raydium and Pump.fun.
Democrats Sue Trump Administration Over Election Executive Order (Reuters): The lawsuit says requiring voter citizenship proof and cutting funds for noncompliant states would unlawfully let presidents reshape election rules to protect their own political interests.
Gold Hits Record as Trump’s Trade Threats Fan Haven Demand (Bloomberg): Spot gold, up 19% in the first quarter, hit $3,149 as investors braced for retaliation over Trump’s reciprocal tariffs plan, which will be unveiled Wednesday.
RBA Keeps Rates on Hold as It Points to Trade War Threat (The Wall Street Journal): Australia’s central bank warned that stiffer U.S. tariffs and rising geopolitical tensions could drag on global growth by undermining confidence and prompting households and firms to delay spending decisions.
Metaplanet Ups Bitcoin Holding to Over 4K BTC, Adds Another 696 BTC (CoinDesk): The Japanese firm paid about $97,500 per bitcoin, raising the average cost of its holdings to roughly $86,500 per coin.
In the Ether
Uncategorized
BTC, ETH, XRP Set For a Near-Term Bounce as Attention Turns to Rate Cuts

An oversold market and reactions to U.S. tariffs may be a thing of the past with traders now eying new economic data and rate cuts in the coming months — with expectations of a bitcoin bounce in the near term.
Crypto markets saw high volatility on Wednesday and Thursday in the run-up to the tariff announcement, where President Donald Trump levied a minimum 10% fee on all imports to the country.
Major tokens bitcoin (BTC), ether (ETH), Solana’s SOL, XRP (XRP), and others, zoomed ahead of the speech and slumped as global markets fell, reversing all gains from the start of the week.
Markets have since shown an uptick in prices on Friday morning, with BTC steady above $83,100, ETH retaking $1,800 and XRP, SOL and ADA rising over 2%.
Ahead of Trump’s speech, investors transferred larger volumes of Bitcoin, ETH, and XRP into exchanges, suggesting a growing intent to sell, per a CryptoQuant note shared with CoinDesk on Thursday. Bitcoin transactions surged to as much as 2,500 BTC in a single block just hours after Trump began speaking.
In the U.S., Coinbase also saw a rise in bitcoin deposits, particularly from large holders.
Similarly, ETH inflows into exchanges spiked to an hourly peak of approximately 80,000 ETH. XRP transfers into Binance jumped to 130 million in one hour, up from under 10 million XRP per hour throughout most of the previous day.
These rising exchange inflows reflected investor willingness to exit positions amid growing economic uncertainty, CryptoQuant said, with demand for Bitcoin and ETH declining in the perpetual futures market as traders closed their long positions to take profits.
But with headwinds behind and a new economic data set to be released later Friday could provide the impetus for a short-term relief in markets.
Attention is on the non-farm payroll report scheduled for a Friday release. The monthly U.S. economic indicator released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows the change in employment, reflecting job creation, unemployment trends, and wage growth, offering insight into economic health.
“Investors are bracing for signs of softness in the U.S. labour market,” Singapore-based QCP Capital said in a Telegram broadcast earlier Friday. “ A weaker-than-expected print would bolster the case for further Fed rate cuts this year, as policymakers attempt to cushion a decelerating economy.”
Data shows markets are pricing in four rate cuts in 2025 — 0.25 bps each in June, July, September and December. Rate cuts occur when a central bank, like the Federal Reserve, lowers interest rates to stimulate economic growth by making borrowing cheaper.
Bitcoin, and the broader market, tend to react positively to rate cuts, as lower rates reduce the appeal of traditional investments like bonds, driving investors toward alternatives like BTC. Additionally, a weaker dollar can enhance BTC’s value as a hedge against inflation or currency devaluation.
QCP Capital said it continues to observe elevated volatility in the short term, with more buyers of downside protection.
“That said, with positioning now light and risk assets largely oversold, the stage may be set for a near-term bounce,” the fund said.
Uncategorized
Not a Meme! DePIN Can Take Crypto Mainstream

For years, the crypto market has thrived on speculation, where excitement, hype and fleeting trends attract value instead of fundamentals. Investors have continually poured money into tokens fueled by viral moments, chasing rapid gains. Time and again, a select few of these investments soar to incredible heights, only to come crashing down. With over 33 million tokens in circulation, the competition to attract attention gets harder and harder and investor attention is ever more fleeting. But DePIN can change this. With compelling businesses attracting real customers and revenue built on well designed token economics, DePIN can set a new standard of fundamentals in crypto.
As our DePIN Token Economics Report outlines, Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks (DePIN) offer a number of compelling businesses with fundamental value. Unlike typical crypto projects driven by speculation, DePIN offers a different approach. It uses blockchain technology to support real-world infrastructure, creating tangible value and generating real revenue. Instead of relying on hype, it builds a financial system based on actual demand, making it a more sustainable and practical model.
Rather than resembling major crypto networks like Bitcoin or Ethereum, DePIN operates more like capital-light marketplaces such as Uber and Airbnb, but with key distinctions. While both models connect providers with customers without funding infrastructure, DePIN providers are compensated in tokens that can appreciate in value, akin to Uber drivers or Airbnb hosts receiving equity. Additionally, most DePINs sell to businesses which eliminates the need for massive marketing expenses required in building a consumer brand.
DePIN offers a compelling business model and, unlike memes that come and go, it is the beginning of crypto’s transformation into a mature, revenue-generating industry.
From Hype to Revenue-Driven Models
At its core, DePIN represents a paradigm shift. Traditionally, blockchain-based businesses have relied on hype to attract buyers. In the absence of traditional fundamentals, the industry cycled through endless metrics such as TPS, TVL, Telegram channel size, followers on X and many others. Many projects have attempted to build decentralized ecosystems. But, without real customers paying for services, they have largely functioned as economies fueled by speculation rather than external demand.
DePIN changes this by integrating blockchain technology with physical and digital infrastructure, creating compelling services that generate revenue. Whether it is decentralized cloud computing, wireless networks, mapping or storage solutions, DePIN projects offer services like traditional businesses and with customers who pay for usage. When combined with the correct token economics, it creates a sustainable financial model.
As DePIN generates growing revenue, it is likely to draw institutional investors who have long been skeptical of crypto’s reliance on hype and speculation. The projects that successfully correlate the token demand to actual business growth will not only survive the current market but also set the standard for the next generation of blockchain companies
The report also highlights one of the most compelling aspects of DePIN, the use of buy-and-burn, which removes the need to have an expanding pool of new buyers. Instead, these projects use a portion of their revenue to repurchase and burn tokens, permanently reducing supply and potentially driving long-term price appreciation similar to stock buybacks.
This approach is in stark contrast to most of crypto which relies on new buyers to sustain and grow their value.The buy-and-burn model ensures that as DePIN businesses grow and generate more revenue, their token ecosystems become more resilient to market fluctuations. Some DePIN tokens are already demonstrating this by decoupling from broader crypto market trends, proving that real-world adoption can lead to price stability and long-term investor confidence.
Aligning Incentives for Sustainable Growth
While DePIN offers significant potential, it also comes with challenges. One major concern is transparency, as most projects lack traditional financial reports, audits, or clear revenue statements. However, blockchain itself provides a solution — on-chain verification through buy-and-burn mechanisms allows for real-time financial tracking, giving investors a clearer picture of a project’s health.
Another challenge is customer adoption. Many businesses and consumers remain concerned due to crypto’s volatility. To address this, DePIN projects are introducing fiat payment options and stablecoin rewards, making it easier for everyday users to interact with these decentralized services without needing prior crypto or Web3 experience.
For DePIN to succeed, its incentive structures must be designed to keep all stakeholders — providers, users, and investors aligned. One way to achieve alignment is through staking mechanisms, especially in cloud-based networks where service providers lock up tokens as collateral to guarantee reliability. Projects like Filecoin and Fluence already use this approach, ensuring accountability while strengthening network security. Others, such as Render and Livepeer, take a different route by distributing a share of network revenue to token stakers, creating a system similar to dividends that rewards long-term commitment.
Governance will also be critical as DePIN projects decentralize. To prevent large token holders from short-term profiteering for quick gains, new governance models like quadratic voting and weighted staking are emerging. These frameworks help keep decision-making balanced, ensuring that projects remain sustainable and fair as they evolve.
DePIN isn’t just another blockchain investment vehicle, it is laying the foundation for real, decentralized infrastructure. While meme coins have shown that crypto can generate hype, they rarely create lasting value. In contrast, DePIN is developing businesses that can compete with centralized companies by focusing on real-world utility.
With token models backed by revenue, deflationary supply mechanics, and increasing interest from institutional investors, DePIN is redefining how blockchain networks should function. The projects that successfully address capital efficiency, align incentives, and navigate regulatory challenges will be the ones that lead this next phase of decentralized technology.
As DePIN matures, its token models will continue to evolve. Optimizing capital efficiency through transparent buy-and-burn rates will ensure liquidity while maintaining long-term value. Governance structures will adapt to prevent short-term actors from derailing network growth. By 2026, DePIN will be recognized as the benchmark for sustainable blockchain economies, proving that crypto can function as more than a speculative asset class.
The crypto industry stands at a crossroads. Investors, developers, and institutions must choose between supporting unsustainable token models or supporting projects that create real value. For the space to mature, it needs to move beyond pure speculation, and DePIN is at the forefront of that transformation.
Uncategorized
TON’s Dramatic Volatility Signals Market Uncertainty

Market Recovery Amid Institutional Confidence
The cryptocurrency market remains in turbulent territory as Toncoin (TON) demonstrates both significant volatility and remarkable resilience.
After forming a head-and-shoulders pattern with strong resistance at $4.15, TON has recovered from its recent lows. It is now trading at $4.13 with a 12.5% weekly gain.
This recovery comes amid news that leading venture capital firms, including Sequoia, Ribbit Capital, and Benchmark, collectively hold over $400 million in TON, signaling institutional confidence in the blockchain’s future.
TON Technical Analysis Highlights
Price action formed a head-and-shoulders pattern with resistance at $4.15 and support at $3.60.
The support level at $3.60 was breached during the April 3rd selloff.
Volume analysis shows distribution phases coinciding with price peaks, suggesting institutional profit-taking.
Fibonacci retracement indicates potential stabilization around the 0.618 level at $3.58.
Cup-and-handle formation appeared during recovery with initial resistance at $3.58.
Strong buying pressure was observed during the 15:32-15:34 and 15:58 periods.
Price reclaimed the Fibonacci 0.382 level at $3.59, suggesting potential continuation toward $3.65.
Disclaimer: This article was generated with AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy. This article may include information from external sources, which are listed below when applicable.
TheNewsCrypto, “Toncoin (TON) Eyes $4 as Bullish Momentum Builds,” accessed April 3, 2025
CryptoNews, “Is This the Next Solana? Toncoin’s $400 Million VC Investment Surge Signals Explosive Upside,” accessed April 3, 2025
CryptoDaily, “AI Predicts 12,500% Gains for Remittix (RTX), 232% for Chainlink (LINK) — But to Sell Toncoin (TON), Shiba Inu (SHIB) Fast,” accessed April 3, 2025
TheNewsCrypto, “Toncoin (TON) Price Prediction,” accessed April 3, 2025
Bitcoin Sistemi, “Top Crypto Platforms: Binance Coin, BlockDAG, Tron, Toncoin Poised for Major Growth in 2025,” accessed April 3, 2025
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