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Hotter-Than-Expected Core Inflation in Japan Sparks Rate Hike Talk, Threatens Crypto

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Just when it appeared that the yen scare could be easing, Japan has reported an uptick in core inflation.

Data released early Friday showed Japan’s core inflation, which stripes out prices for fresh food, rose 3% year-on-year in February, moderating from January’s 3.2% but beating the consensus forecast for 2.9%. The headline consumer price index eased to 3.7% from 4%.

Overall, both indices remained well above the Bank of Japan’s 2% inflation target, validating the central bank chief Haruhiko Kuroda’s declaration of victory over decades of deflation. Notably, since November, Japan’s headline inflation has been running hotter than that of the U.S.—almost 100 basis points (bps) higher now.

The sticky inflation, plus wage hikes from the shunto wage negotiations, have bolstered calls for BOJ rate hikes. In other words, a potential yen rally, known to destabilize risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, is back on the table.

As of writing, the dollar-yen (USD/JPY) pair traded at 149.22, having bounced nearly 300 pips in a sign of renewed yen weakness since March 11, according to data source TradingView.

That said, the narrowing or declining U.S.-Japan 10-year bond yield spread supports yen strength. Japanese yields have been rising across the curve, offering bullish cues to the yen. As of writing, Japan’s 10-year bond yield held above 1.5%, and the 30-year yield was above 2.5%, both at multi-decade highs.

A renewed yen strength could translate into risk aversion, the likes of which we saw in August last year.

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Ether Surges 8%, Bitcoin Nears $106K as Crypto Bulls Take Charge

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Crypto markets extended their climb with ether (ETH) jumping 8% and bitcoin (BTC) inching back toward the $106,000 mark in the past 24 hours, despite broader risk-off sentiment in equities and gold.

The resilience is in contrast to Friday’s surprise credit downgrade of the U.S. by Moody’s, which cited persistent fiscal deficits and political gridlock. Yet while equities sagged and gold extended its recent decline, falling nearly 7% from May highs, bitcoin held ground and even rallied briefly to $107,000 late Sunday before retracing.

“Bitcoin’s ability to rally over the weekend despite a risk-off tone in equities following the Moody’s downgrade reinforces its positioning as a legitimate store of value,” QCP Capital said in a Telegram broadcast late Monday.

The firm pointed to consistent inflows into spot bitcoin ETFs and institutional demand as catalysts, even as derivatives markets saw some leveraged long liquidations.

Ether was among the standout movers, surging past $2,900 in a strong follow-through move from last week’s breakout. The token’s recent strength has been tied to renewed interest in Ethereum staking flows and positive sentiment following the Pectra upgrade — though no new headline catalyst emerged on Monday.

Solana’s SOL, XRP, BNB Chain’s BNB and dogecoin (DOGE) rose between 2-4%, with the broad-based CoinDesk 20 (CD20) adding just under 2% in the past 24 hours.

Meanwhile, Aave’s AAVE tokens soared over 25% in the past 24 hours, though the move appeared largely speculative. No protocol-level announcement or governance proposal was immediately tied to the jump. The token is still down over 60% from its 2021 highs.

Traders say the decoupling between bitcoin and traditional “hard assets” like gold is worth watching.

“Unlike in previous months where BTC and gold went up in unison, bitcoin has been rising against a drop in spot gold, which is also reflected in ETF flows,” Augustine Fan of SignalPlus said in a message to CoinDesk.

“Gold ETFs saw a notable drop in flows against a small rise in BTC ETFs, with a similar pattern in gold vs BTC futures on CME. We should assume more of these micro-correlation breaks and relative value opportunities to take hold,” Fan ended.

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Nasdaq-Listed DigiAsia Plans to Raise $100M for Bitcoin Buys

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DigiAsia Corp (FAAS) plans to raise up to $100 million to seed a bitcoin treasury reserve (BTC), joining a growing list of publicly traded companies looking to diversify their corporate balance sheets with bitcoin.

The announcement on Monday (which emphasized plans rather than executed actions) helped push DigiAsia’s shares up 91% during regular trading to 36 cents, before pulling back 22% after hours. The stock is still down more than 50% year-to-date.

The company said its board had approved a strategy to allocate up to 50% of future net profits toward BTC purchases and was “actively exploring” a capital raise of up to $100 million, according to a press release.

It also plans to pursue yield-generating strategies on its bitcoin holdings, including institutional lending and staking through regulated partners.

“We believe bitcoin represents a compelling long-term investment and a foundational layer for modern treasury diversification,” said Prashant Gokarn, Co-CEO of DigiAsia, in the release.

The firm added that it was evaluating financing methods such as convertible notes and crypto-linked instruments to support the initiative.

In an April update, DigiAsia reported $101 million in revenue for 2024, with projected earnings before interest and taxes of $12 million this year. Whether DigiAsia follows through on its BTC purchases remains to be seen. But the signal alone has been enough to give the fintech a short-term boost on Wall Street.

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XRP Futures Rack Up $1.5M Trading Volumes on CME Debut

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XRP futures contracts began trading on CME Group’s derivatives platform on May 19, recording at least $1.5 million in trading volume during the first session, a modest but notable debut for the major token.

CME data shows 4 standard contracts (each representing 50,000 XRP) traded on day one, totaling around $480,000 in notional volume at an average price of $2.40. The majority of activity came from 106 micro contracts (2,500 XRP each), accounting for over $1 million in additional volume.

The contracts are cash-settled and benchmarked to the CME CF XRP-Dollar Reference Rate, which is published daily at 4:00 P.M. London time. CME’s dual contract structure is designed to attract both institutional players and smaller participants, offering flexibility for various hedging and trading strategies.

«The launch of regulated XRP Futures on @CMEGroup marks a key institutional milestone for XRP,» Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse posted on X on Monday. He added that Hidden Road executed the first block trade.

The listing follows the CFTC’s classification of XRP as a commodity, a regulatory green light that cleared the path for CME to offer these products.

Analysts say the debut could also strengthen the case for a spot XRP ETF, with ETF Store president Nate Geraci saying such a product is “only a matter of time.”

While early volumes may appear modest, XRP’s inclusion on CME widens market dynamics for the major token in terms of price discovery, similar to how price-action on BTC and ETH futures is impacted when the U.S. market opens.

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