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What the Collapse of the U.S. Bitcoin ETF Cash-and-Carry Trade Means for Investors

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Over the past 30 days a net $180 million has flowed out of U.S. spot bitcoin (BTC) ETFs, among the highest rates of withdrawals since they started trading at the beginning of 2024.

The ETFs have disappointed in 2025, with sluggish inflows largely driven by bitcoin’s weak price performance, which is down roughly 10%. While there has been a brief uptick over the past five days — bringing in some $700 million in net inflows — total net inflows since startup now stand at $36.1 billion, according to Farside data.

There are two main drivers for the past month’s exit: heightened volatility in the price of bitcoin and the unwinding of what’s known as the basis trade.

The bitcoin price has been particularly volatile this year, shooting up to a record $109,000 in January at the start of President Donald Trump’s administration in anticipation of a crypto-friendly regulatory environment and then tumbling to as low as $76,000 at the beginning of March on concerns related to Trump’s tariff-based trade policy.

Retail investors tend to sell during periods of heightened volatility, reacting emotionally as they would with any risk asset.

As for institutions, they are unwinding the basis — or cash-and-carry — trade, which is a strategy that involves taking a long position in the ETF while simultaneously shorting CME bitcoin futures. A short is a bet that the price will drop, and the position is delta neutral trade that capitalizes on the futures pricing trading at a premium to spot.

A delta neutral trade offsets price movements in the underlying asset by balancing positions, minimizing directional risk and maintaining market neutrality.

Currently, this arbitrage yields only around 2%, among the least since the ETFs were first approved. With U.S. Treasuries, among the safest investments available, offering higher yields, many investors are opting for the lower-risk alternative.

ETF inflows and outflows often signal market turning points. When outflows become particularly aggressive, they tend to coincide with local bottoms in bitcoin’s price, especially when viewed on a 30-day moving average. This pattern was observed recently when bitcoin hit its low in March, as well as during similar pullbacks in August 2024 and April 2024.

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True Markets Raises $11M in Series A, Launches Mobile-First DeFi Trading App on Solana

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True Markets, a new decentralized finance (DeFi) trading platform focused on stablecoin-native execution, has launched its mobile app on Solana and closed an $11 million Series A, bringing total funding to $20 million, the company said in a press release Tuesday.

The funding round was co-led by Accomplice and RRE Ventures, with participation from Reciprocal Ventures, Variant Fund, and PayPal Ventures.

Seed investors Paxos Ventures and the Solana Foundation, continue to support the firm, True Markets said.

Founded by Coinbase (COIN) and Circle veterans Vishal Gupta and Patrick McCreary, New York-based True Markets aims to deliver a non-custodial, mobile-first DeFi trading experience for retail users, prioritizing speed, simplicity, and transparency.

The app enables stablecoin-powered token trading on Solana, with gasless execution, smart order routing, and embedded key management via Turnkey, all without users surrendering custody of funds, True Markets said.

“Retail traders have been stuck with clunky workflows, unclear pricing, and fragmented liquidity,» said Vishal Gupta, CEO of True Markets, in the release.

«Our goal is to deliver a fairer and more transparent experience that makes asset discovery simple, shows real-time market momentum, and feels as intuitive as the best apps on your phone,» Gupta added.

Backed by infrastructure partners Turnkey and Definitive, the app features real-time market sparklines, automated execution across decentralized venues, and hosted wallets that support immediate funding and trading within a non-custodial framework.

True Markets said it plans to expand into both CeFi and DeFi markets, with future integrations including TrueX, a centralized exchange designed for institutional liquidity and qualified custody.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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CoinDesk 20 Performance Update: Litecoin (LTC) Drops 6.1%, Leading Index Lower

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CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.

The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 3147.53, down 0.7% (-22.88) since 4 p.m. ET on Monday.

Four of 20 assets are trading higher.

9am CoinDesk 20 Update for 2025-05-20: full chart

Leaders: AAVE (+9.8%) and HBAR (+0.7%).

Laggards: LTC (-6.1%) and FIL (-2.9%).

The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.

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KULR Boosts Bitcoin Treasury to 800 BTC With $9M Purchase

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Energy management firm KULR (KULR) has expanded its bitcoin treasury to more than 800 tokens, with the purchase an additional $9 million worth of BTC.

The latest acquisition — made at an average price of $103,234 each — brings the total amount KULR has spent on the cryptocurrency to $78 million.

This continues the company’s treasury strategy first announced in December last year, under which it committed to holding up to 90% of its surplus cash reserves in bitcoin.

The Houston-based firm, which develops energy storage systems for aerospace and defense, is measuring the success of this pivot using a BTC Yield metric.

That metric tracks the growth in the ratio of bitcoin holdings to the number of shares outstanding, rather than actual dollar returns or revenue. So far in 2025, KULR says that ratio has jumped by 220, according to this morning’s press release.

KULR’s shares are up 3.15% in pre-market trading at $1.3.

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