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Ether in Structural Decline, Year-End Price Target Slashed to $4K: Standard Chartered

Ether’s (ETH) structural decline is expected to continue, investment bank Standard Chartered (STAN) said in a research report Monday slashing its 2025 year-end price target for the world’s second largest cryptocurrency.
Standard Chartered said it now sees ether at $4,000 at the end of the year, down from $10,000 previously. Ether was trading around $1,903 at publication time.
«Ether is at a crossroads,» the report said, and while it «still dominates on several metrics,» this dominance has been falling for some time.
Layer 2 blockchains were meant to improve scalability on the Ethereum blockchain, but Standard Chartered estimates that Coinbase’s (COIN) Base has reduced ether’s market cap by $50 billion, and said it expects this trend to continue.
Market forces could eventually stop this structural decline, «especially if tokenized real-world assets were to grow significantly,» as «ETH’s security dominance means it should maintain its 80% share of this market,» wrote Geoff Kendrick, head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered.
Still, «Only a proactive change of commercial direction from the Ethereum Foundation – such as taxing layer 2s – could achieve that now,» which the bank said was unlikely.
Standard Chartered said its expects the ETH/BTC ratio to decline to 0.015 by year-end 2027, the lowest level since 2017.
The bank still sees a recovery in the ether price from the current level around $1,900, as a rally in bitcoin (BTC) is expected to lift all digital assets, but the cryptocurrency’s underperformance will continue.
Read more: Ether Has Underperformed, but Total Value Locked on Ethereum Is Rising: Citi
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Tether Raises Bitdeer Stake to 21%: SEC Filing

Tether, the issuer of the USDT stablecoin, increased its holdings in bitcoin (BTC) miner Bitdeer (BTDR), building on a investment it started almost a year ago.
The company financed the acquisition with working capital and now owns 21% of the company, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing.
Tether first acquired a position in the Singapore-based company last May with a $100 million investment for 18.59 million Class A shares and an option to buy 5 million more at $10 each.
Tether is building a portfolio of holdings with its record profits, which came in at $13 billion last year, acquiring a stake in Italty’s Juventus FC and bidding for a majority stake in Latin American agricultural commodities producer Adecoagro.
Bitdeer’s stock is unchanged on Nasdaq pre-market trading, changing hands at $10.56.
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Metaplanet Continues Bond Issuance for Bitcoin Buys

Japan’s Metaplanet has issued more zero-interest bonds as the listed company looks to asquire more bitcoin (BTC).
The company said today in a notice to shareholders that it issued 2 billion yen ($13.4 million) in zero-interest ordinary bonds for buying BTC, with Evo fund once again acting as the sole bondholder.
These bonds carry no interest and will be redeemed in full on Sept. 17.
These bond issuances are a regular occurrence for the listed company as Metaplanet continues to increase its bitcoin reserves, taking advantage of cheaper pricing brought by BTC’s recent price correction.
Last week, the company announced it had acquired 162 BTC for $13.5 million at an average price of $83,123 per bitcoin.
With all its recent buys, Metaplanet now holds 3200 BTC, worth $265 million, which makes it the tenth-largest BTC-holding public entity, according to bitcointreasuries.net.
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Bitcoin Storm Could Be Brewing, Crypto OnChain Options Platform Derive Says

The calm that has returned to the bitcoin (BTC) market may be short-lived, potentially setting the stage for a storm that could trigger significant price volatility, according to insights from the decentralized crypto on-chain options platform Derive.
Since March 12, BTC has settled in the $80K-$85K range in a consolidation typically seen after a notable directional move. Prices tanked from $100K to under $80K in preceding weeks due to several factors, including President Donald Trump’s tariffs and disappointment about the lack of new purchases in the U.S. strategic BTC reserve.
With the latest consolidation, key volatility metrics have declined, nearing monthly lows. Volatility, however, is mean-reverting, meaning the low-volatility regime could soon pave the way for price turbulence, according to Derive.
«BTC’s weekly at-the-money (ATM) volatility has dipped below 50% to 49%, approaching monthly lows of 45%. Realized volatility has also dropped from 91% at the start of the month to 54% today,» Nick Forster, founder of Derive, wrote in a recent note shared with CoinDesk.
It is important to remember that volatility is price agnostic, meaning that the expected increase in volatility does not indicate the direction of the price movement in bitcoin.
“Volatility is mean-reverting, so we can expect it to rise soon, likely to levels seen in February (60-70%),» Forster added.
Whether prices rise or fall, volatility can increase, suggesting that significant price swings could occur in either direction.
According to Derive, several factors could trigger volatility, including «a ceasefire (or lack thereof) in Ukraine, or significant shifts in crypto regulatory policy under the Trump administration.»
Derive is the world’s leading on-chain AI-powered options protocol with a total value locked of nearly $100 million. The protocol has registered a cumulative trading volume of $15 billion to date.
Wednesday’s Federal Reserve rate decision could move markets as well.
The central bank is likely to keep rates unchanged, with traders pricing two to three rate cuts later this year. But a dovish surprise could recharge bulls’ engines for a sharp move higher.
Potential Fed rate cuts, however, could be limited, according to BlackRock.
«Markets have priced in about two to three 25 basis point rate cuts this year, versus expectations for just one earlier this year. We think this reflects U.S. recession fears even though economic condition don’t point to a downturn. Even if prolonged uncertainty hurts growth, we still see persistent inflation limiting how much the Fed can cut,» BlackRock said in a weekly note.
The expected volatility boom could happen to the downside should equity markets continue to fall, accelerating the decline in crypto prices.
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