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Memecoins Under Fire as BTC Lullfest Below $100K Revives Memories of 2018

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent narrow price range between $94,000 and $100,000 has perplexed many market participants.

While the largest cryptocurrency historically shows strong directional moves followed by months-long consolidations, known as stair-step price movements, this time feels different. Usually consolidations are followed by a breakout. In contrast, now the range has narrowed. In December it was $90,000-$110,000.

Attendees at last week’s Consensus Hong Kong shared the sentiment, with some prominent market makers and industry figures suggesting the rampant memecoin frenzy is a key reason behind the lull in BTC and the broader altcoin market, which feels similar to the lackluster price action from seven years ago.

«The market has been very saturated with memecoin launches, and crypto natives are kind of exhausted by this,» said Evgeny Gaevoy, CEO of leading market maker Wintermute, at the conference.

Tokens such as President Donald Trump’s TRUMP and the LIBRA token promoted by Argentine President Javier Milei tend to draw liquidity from more established cryptocurrencies, Gaevoy said, with traders buying those at the expense of other coins.

Such stagnant BTC price behavior is reminiscent of September-October 2018, when the range tightened over successive weeks, ultimately settling between $6,000 and $6,400.

It’s not a totally parallel situation, though. That occurred during a bear market, following a steep decline from bitcoin’s then-record high of nearly $20,000, making the range play somewhat justifiable as investor confidence waned. This time around, BTC is only about 12% below its all-time high.

Presidential memecoins

Three days before his Jan. 20 inauguration, Trump debuted his official token, TRUMP, which reached a market cap of over $12 billion in just 48 hours. Its descent was equally fast, and the market cap had crashed to near $3 billion by early this month, data from Coingecko show.

What’s interesting is that the total crypto market capitalization remained largely unchanged at nearly $3.5 trillion during the boom-bust cycle. That’s a sign the memecoin did little to draw new capital to the market. In other words, the money simply migrated from BTC, Solana’s SOL and other coins.

Moreover, while some wallets that invested early made big money, around 800,000 lost a total of $2 billion by selling at a loss or holding as prices crashed, according to Chainalysis.

Something similar played out during the LIBRA fiasco early this month, which destroyed $251 million in investor money and became a net wealth-destroyer for the crypto market.

That’s probably why Abraxas Capital Management founder Fabio Frontini said memecoins should be banned. He was speaking during a rapid-fire round at the «Views from Wall Street to Crypto» session at Consensus.

Jason Atkins, chief commercial officer at Auros, said the fact that memecoins are sucking out liquidity from the other sectors of the market shows how fragile the liquidity pool is.

«It’s clear that adoption is still at an early stage,» Atkins said in an interview. «The number of participants remains relatively low, and the fact that one high-profile token launch can send shockwaves across the entire market shows how fragile the liquidity pool is. It’s a clear signal that the broader market lacks sufficient depth and stability.»

Those are key requirements for attracting more institutional interest, he said.

«Institutional investors are actively exploring how they can engage with this space. But they are cautious. They need to see a more mature, stable market that can handle larger volumes without getting disrupted by speculative, meme-driven activity.»

Bitcoin’s direction

Opinions were mixed on what happens next for the BTC price.

Several Consensus delegates said the meme frenzy and the uncanny stability in BTC is unhealthy. Such range plays often end with a downside move, they said. That’s what happened in 2018, when the consolidation ended with a sharp decline.

On the other hand, the memecoin saturation is overshadowing positive news on the regulatory front, Wintermute’s Gaevoy said.

«People don’t necessarily appreciate that we have a lot of positive news coming. For example, on the regulatory side, we have all forgotten how bad of an influence the SEC and even CFTC was for the last few years and now that overhang is completely gone. I don’t think it’s being properly priced, So I’m pretty optimistic,» Gaevoy said.

Altcoin ETFs?

The regulatory environment includes change of U.S. administration and exit of Gary Gensler from the Securities and Exchange Commission.

A number of issuers have now filed SEC applications for spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tied to Solana’s SOL, XRP, dogecoin (DOGE) and litecoin (LTC).

To date, the regulator has approved only spot bitcoin and ether ETFs, assuming that the CME’s surveillance system for bitcoin and ether futures mitigates concerns about price manipulation. If CME futures are seen as a prerequisite to win approval for ETFs tied to digital assets, it’s worth noting the broader altcoins don’t have that privilege yet.

Gaevoy disagrees.

«It’s a relic from the previous SEC leadership. I would definitely not be surprised if Solana and other top 10 tokens excluding stablecoins are approved,» he said.

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Strategy Buys $555M of Bitcoin, Increases Total Stash to 538,200 BTC

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Strategy (MSTR) has added 6,556 bitcoin (BTC) to its balance sheet, spending $555.8 million in the process, according to a regulatory filing published on Monday.

The purchase was funded using proceeds from the company’s two at-the-market (ATM) stock offering programs, the filings notes.

The firm, the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, sold 1.76 million shares of its Class A common stock and over 91,000 shares of a preferred stock series — STRK — between April 14 and April 20.

The common stock sale brought in $547.7 million, while the preferred shares added another $7.8 million. The latest acquisition boosts Strategy’s total holdings to 538,200 BTC, purchased at an average price of $67,766 per coin.

The Michael Saylor-led company has spent $36.47 billion on bitcoin to date. Shares of MSTR are up 2.77% in pre-market trading as BTC rose to $87,300.

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Crypto Daybook Americas: Bitcoin Breakout Lifts AI, Memecoins, Underscores Hedge Value

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By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

Bitcoin’s censorship-resistant, decentralized setup empowers individuals by facilitating peer-to-peer transactions without government interference or corporate control.

You’ve probably heard that from a Bitcoin maxi many times.

It’s an idea that resonates even more strongly today in light of reports that President Donald Trump is exploring ways to remove Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, which is the world’s most powerful central bank.

National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett talked about Trump’s intentions Friday and markets responded early Monday by selling the dollar and the U.S. stock futures. The Dollar Index, which tracks the currency’s exchange rate against major fiat currencies, slipped to a three-year low of 98.00 while gold touched new highs above $3,400 per ounce.

Bitcoin rose past $87,000, confirming a bullish breakout from its recent sideways trading between $83,000 and $86,000 to suggest more gains ahead. The uptick saw gaming, AI and memecoins outshine other sectors of the crypto market, with smaller tokens like ENJ and MAGIC chalking out gains in excess of 50% in 24 hours. MANTRA still tanked 15%.

«A weaker dollar could draw renewed attention from American investors, highlighting bitcoin’s potential as a hedge against declining dollar value,» said Matrixport, a crypto financial services platform.

On-chain data warned of heightened volatility as prices potentially near the $90,000 mark. «Cost‑basis clusters show little overhead supply below that range, implying the market could advance quickly before a larger tranche of holders reaches break‑even and begins taking profit,» analytics firm IntoTheBlock said in a Telegram post.

In other news, Charles Shwab CEO Rick Wurster said the financial services firm is “hopeful and likely to be able” to support spot crypto trading within the next year. Wurster said that more and more clients are seeking information about crypto.

Slovenia’s Finance Ministry proposed a 25% tax on capital gains on profits from selling cryptocurrencies for fiat or spending tokens for goods and services. The tax is proposed to go into effect from 2026.

Vitalik Buterin, a co-founder of the Ethereum blockchain, proposed replacing the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) with RISC-V, an open-source instruction set architecture used to develop custom processors for a variety of applications. Buterin said the proposal address one of Ethereum’s key scaling bottlenecks by dramatically improving the efficiency and simplicity of smart contract execution.

Speaking of Ethereum, it briefly fell behind its chief rival, Solana network in terms of the total staked value of their respective native tokens, ETH and SOL. Uniswap founder Hayden Adam warned that Ethereum could fall behind Solana if it goes back to relying on the layer 1 bockchain instead of the layer-2 scaling products.

In macro news, China said it will retaliate against countries that work with U.S. to isolate Beijing in the trade war started by Trump. Stay alert!

What to Watch

  • Crypto:
    • April 21: Coinbase Derivatives will list XRP futures pending approval by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
    • April 25, 1 p.m.: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Crypto Task Force Roundtable on «Key Considerations for Crypto Custody«.
    • April 29, 1:05 a.m.: BNB Chain (BNB) — BSC mainnet hardfork.
    • April 30, 9:30 a.m.: ProShares expects its XRP ETF, offering exposure through futures and swap agreements, to begin trading on NYSE Arca.
    • April 30, 10:03 a.m.: Gnosis Chain (GNO), an Ethereum sister chain, will activate the Pectra hard fork on its mainnet at slot 21,405,696, epoch 1,337,856.
  • Macro
    • April 21-26: World Bank (WB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) spring meetings take place in Washington.
    • April 22, 8:30 p.m.: Statistics Canada releases March producer price inflation data.
      • PPI MoM Prev. 0.4%
      • PPI YoY Prev. 4.9%
    • April 22, 6 p.m.: Fed Governor Adriana D. Kugler will deliver a speech titled «Transmission of Monetary Policy.»
    • April 23, 8 a.m.: Mexico’s National Institute of Statistics and Geography releases retail sales data.
      • Retail Sales MoM Prev. 0.6%
      • Retail Sales YoY Prev. 2.7%
    • April 23, 9:45 a.m.: S&P Global releases (flash) U.S. April purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data.
      • Composite PMI Prev. 53.5
      • Manufacturing PMI Prev. 50.2
      • Services PMI Est. 52.9 vs. Prev. 54.4
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • April 22: Tesla (TSLA), post-market
    • April 30: Robinhood Markets (HOOD), post-market
    • May 1: Block (XYZ), post-market

Token Events

  • Governance votes & calls
  • Unlocks
    • April 22: Metars Genesis (MRS) to unlock 11.87% of its circulating supply worth $127.9 million.
    • April 30: Optimism (OP) to unlock 1.89% of its circulating supply worth $22.78 million.
    • May 1: Sui (SUI) to unlock 2.28% of its circulating supply worth $167.97 million.
    • May 1: ZetaChain (ZETA) to unlock 5.67% of its circulating supply worth $10.57 million.
    • May 2: Ethena (ENA) to unlock 0.73% of its circulating supply worth $12.12 million.
  • Token Launches
    • April 21: Balance (EPT) to be listed on Bitget Bybit, KuCoin, Gate.io, LBank, MEXC, BingX.
    • April 22: Hyperlane to airdrop its HYPER tokens.
    • April 22: BNB to be listed on Kraken.

Conferences:

Token Talk

By Shaurya Malwa

  • Bitget, a centralized crypto exchange, will reverse trades and compensate users due to «abnormal trading» in its perpetual futures market for VOXEL, a token linked to the Polygon-based RPG game Voxie Tactics.
  • Early Sunday, VOXEL’s trading volume surged past bitcoin’s 24-hour volume — with the token’s value surging over 300% in a week — despite being only the 723rd-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.
  • An X user claimed six-figure profits from a sub-$100 investment, attributing the surge to a potential bug in Bitget’s market-making robot,. The trade rollback will likely erase these gains.
  • Bitget’s investigation revealed possible market manipulation by certain accounts, prompting the exchange to activate its risk-control system and plan a trade rollback within 24 hours.
  • Affected users who incurred losses will receive compensation, and Bitget is continuing its investigation.

Derivatives Positioning

  • The market-wide futures open interest has climbed to $37.22 billion, the highest since March 24, according to Velo Data. The figure represents open interest in all coins listed on Binance, Bybit, OKX, Deribit and Hyperliquid.
  • ETH is the best performing major token in terms of futures open interest growth, followed by BTC and LINK.
  • Speaking of OI-adjusted cumulative volume delta, ETH also leads the pack with the highest positive reading, implying an influx of buying pressure in the market.
  • On Deribit, BTC and ETH risk reversals for short- and near-dated expiries have flattened out, recovering from the recent persistent negative prints that represented bias for protective put options.

Market Movements:

  • BTC is up 3.19% from 4 p.m. ET Sunday at $87,270.44 (24hrs: +3.63%)
  • ETH is up 2.54% at $1,631.90 (24hrs: +3.17%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is up 0.8% at 2,268.01 (24hrs: +3.77%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 47 bps at 2.47%
  • BTC funding rate is at 0.0044% (4.776% annualized) on Binance

CoinDesk 20 members’ performance

  • DXY is down 1.11% at 98.26
  • Gold is up 2.04% at $3,395.65/oz
  • Silver is up 1.12% at $32.89/oz
  • Nikkei 225 closed -1.3% at 34,279.92
  • Hang Seng closed +1.61% at 21,395.14
  • FTSE is closed at 8,275.66
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is closed at 4,935.34
  • DJIA closed on Thursday -1.33% at 39,142.23
  • S&P 500 closed +0.13% at 5,282.70
  • Nasdaq closed -0.13% at 16,286.45
  • S&P/TSX Composite Index closed +0.36% at 24,192.81
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed +1.64% at 2,383.75
  • U.S. 10-year Treasury rate is unchanged at 4.33%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are down 1.04% at 5,275.00
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are down 1.16% at 18,168.25
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are down 0.92% at 38,969

Bitcoin Stats:

  • BTC Dominance: 64% (0.23%)
  • Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.1873 (0.54%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 858 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $45.22
  • Total Fees: 5.48 BTC / $479,045
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 141,280 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 25.7 oz
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 7.2%

Technical Analysis

BTC/USD's daily price chart with trading volume and seven-day volume MA. (Coinglass)

  • Bitcoin’s breakout has set the stage for a continued move higher to $90,000.
  • However, trading volume has dipped, suggesting low participation in the price recovery.
  • A low-volume rally often ends up being short-lived.

Crypto Equities

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed on Thursday at $317.20 (1.78%), up 3.13% at $327.12 in pre-market
  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $175.03 (1.64%) up 1.4% at $177.49
  • Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at C$15.36 (-1.41%)
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $12.66 (2.76%), up 2.69% at $13.00
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $6.46 (1.57%), up 2.63% at $6.63
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $6.63 (0.61%), down 0.45% at $6.60
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $7.51 (3.16%), up 1.86% at $7.65
  • CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $12.04 (1.09%), up 2.41% at $12.33
  • Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $32.49 (4.79%)
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $36.58 (-1.64%), up 2.1% at $37.35

ETF Flows

U.S. equity markets were closed on Friday.

Overnight Flows

Top 20 digital assets’ prices and volumes

Chart of the Day

XRP options risk reversals. (Deribit/Amberdata)

  • XRP’s short- and near-dated risk reversals continue to be priced negative, a sign of persistent demand for put options, which offer downside protection.

While You Were Sleeping

In the Ether

Price range for Bitcoin in the 4th halving cycle:Schwab CEO expects to launch direct spot crypto trading w/in next 12mos…Bitcoin has no counterparty risk.Capital inflows into the crypto market have plunged 70% over the past two weeks, falling from $8.20 billion to just $2.38 billion!This brings total China’s gold reserves to a record 2,292 tonnes.

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Bitcoin’s Breakout Signals BTC Potentially Rallying to $90K-$92K: Technical Analysis

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This is a daily technical analysis by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent range play resolved bullishly early Monday, shifting focus to the $90,000-$92,000 range, which was previously a strong support zone.

The leading cryptocurrency by market value rose past $87,000, convincingly breaking out of a week-long consolidation between $83,000 and $86,000. The renewed willingness among the bulls to lead the price action indicates the resumption of the recovery from the April 7 lows under $75,000.

It also means potential for a continued move higher to the $90,000-$92,000 range, which acted as the floor, arresting price drops from December to early February. The support zone was eventually breached in late February, spurring a rapid decline to under $75,000.

BTC's hourly and daily charts. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

The range breakout is seen on the hourly chart (left).

It follows the recent invalidation of the bearish trendline, characterizing the sell-off from record highs, as seen on the daily chart. BTC has also surpassed the 30-day exponential moving average (EMA) of price highs, indicating a bullish shift in momentum.

The focus, therefore, is on the $90,000-$92,000 range, the former support zone from early this year. Those tracking moving averages should note that the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) is now located at $88,245.

The bullish outlook risks invalidation should prices fall all the way back to $85K by the day’s end (UTC).

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