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Bitcoin Difficulty Hits New Highs as Key Metric Signals Miner Capitulation and Possible Bottom

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Bitcoin (BTC) difficulty hit an all-time high of 114.7 trillion (T) following a 5.6% upward adjustment over the weekend, according to CoinWarz.

This coincides with the Hash Ribbon metric signaling a miner capitulation. Hash Ribbon, is a market indicator, which hints at a local bottom for bitcoin (BTC) and often forms when miners capitulate — when mining costs exceed profitability.

According to Glassnode data, miner capitulation began in early February. Bitcoin is down over 4% month-to-date. Historically, when this metric signals capitulation, it has marked local price bottoms.

If this pattern holds, bitcoin’s bottom could be around $91,000. The last capitulation signal occurred in October 2024, just before BTC surged 50%.

This rise in difficulty is due to bitcoin’s rising hash rate, which hit an all-time high on Feb. 4. Mining difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks, targeting an average block time of 10 minutes.

As difficulty increases, mining becomes more competitive, placing additional pressure on miners. January’s production data reflects this, with Riot Platforms (RIOT) being the only major public miner to report a month-over-month production increase.

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Mercurity Fintech Plans $800M Bitcoin Treasury, Eyes Russell 2000 Inclusion

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Mercurity Fintech Holding (MFH) is raising $800 million to establish a bitcoin BTC treasury, the company announced in a press release.

The New York-based fintech group said the funds will support a multi-pronged strategy: acquiring bitcoin, storing it in blockchain-native custodial infrastructure, and integrating it into a system that includes tokenized treasury tools and staking services.

That means Mercurity isn’t just betting on a BTC treasury, but it’s trying to move into a “yield-generating, blockchain-aligned reserve structure.”

“Bitcoin will become an essential component of the future financial infrastructure,” CEO Shi Qiu said in the release. “We are positioning our company to be a key player in the evolving digital financial ecosystem.»

The company did not disclose whether the funds would be raised through debt, equity, or other financing mechanisms.

The fundraising announcement coincides with news that Mercurity is slated for inclusion in the Russell 2000 and Russell 3000 indexes.

MFH operates cryptocurrency mining facilities focusing on bitcoin and filecoin. It also develops liquid cooling solutions for AI data centers, and offers financial services to institutions and high-net-worth individuals.

The company’s shares went up 1.9% in yesterday’s trading session but dropped 2.84% in after-hours trading.

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Strong Uptake at 10-Year U.S. Debt Sale Eases Demand Concerns, 30-Year Sale’s Up Next

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Wednesday’s auction of 10-year U.S. Treasury notes undermined the narrative that investors are moving away from U.S. government debt, the bedrock of global finance, and pouring money instead into bitcoin BTC and gold.

Thursday’s sale of $22 billion of 30-year bonds may provide further clues to investor confidence in the fiscal policies of U.S. President Donald Trump since he initiated the global trade war in early April and help signal whether the notes are losing their shine as the premier fixed-income instrument backed by the deepest liquidity and low credit risk.

At the June 11 auction, demand for the $39 billion of 10-year notes, which offered a yield of 4.421%, outstripped supply by more than 2.5 times, according to Exante Data, and the primary dealer takedown was reportedly just 9%, the fourth-lowest on record. That’s a sign investors did most of the heavy buying. Primary dealers are the institutions authorized by the central bank to trade government bonds, and the takedown refers to the amount of newly issued debt they absorb themselves.

Worsening debt situation

As of June, the U.S. total gross national debt is over $36 trillion, more than 120% of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP).

The deficit, or the excess of government expenditure over revenue, was $1.8 trillion in 2024. The figure is expected to increase by $2.4 trillion in the coming years due to Trump’s tax cut plans. As of now, the U.S. pays $1 trillion as the cost of servicing the debt.

The new issuance, therefore, is more likely to exacerbate the problem and has several analysts pointing to bitcoin and gold as a hedge against the fiscal crisis.

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Bitcoin-Based Stablecoin Network Plasma Raises Deposit Cap to $1B, Gets Filled in 30 Minutes

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Stablecoin-focused blockchain Plasma raised its deposit cap to $1 billion early Thursday — and hit that limit within 30 minutes.

The new cap marks a doubling from the prior $500 million ceiling, which had itself been raised just days earlier following a community-driven outcry over bot activity and rapid sellout times.

Plasma said the short-notice announcement was designed to give real users, such as those active in its Discord, a fairer shot at joining. But it’s not a token sale just yet.

“Deposits are not the sale itself,” Plasma clarified in a post. “All funds remain fully owned by depositors and will be bridged to Plasma mainnet beta.”

Participants earn the right to buy into the eventual $50 million XPL public sale based on how many units they’ve locked up by the cutoff. The sale is valued at $500 million on a fully diluted basis.

Earlier this week, the project — which aims to bring native stablecoin functionality to Bitcoin through an EVM-compatible sidechain — saw its initial $500 million cap fill in just five minutes, according to Arkham data.

That figure was ten times what Plasma initially planned, indicative of massive investor appetite for stablecoin infrastructure.

The team behind Plasma has positioned its chain as a way to sidestep Ethereum’s high fees and congestion by building a zero-gas environment for stablecoin transactions while being anchored to Bitcoin’s security model.

USDT will be the first supported asset, with more expected to follow.

Read more: Plasma’s XPL Token Sale Attracts $500M as Investors Chase Stablecoin Plays

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