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Crypto for Advisors: Bitcoin Mining Will Be Different in 2025

In today’s issue, Ben Harper from Luxor Technology provides an update on what’s happening with bitcoin mining this year.
Then, Colin Harper from Blockspace Media answers questions on the topic of mining and AI in Ask and Expert.
You’re reading Crypto for Advisors, CoinDesk’s weekly newsletter that unpacks digital assets for financial advisors. Subscribe here to get it every Thursday.
Bitcoin Mining Has Changed — It’s No Longer Just About the Price
The bitcoin mining investment thesis used to be simple — miners thrived when bitcoin’s price soared, and when it fell, they suffered. But in 2024, that equation changed. Bitcoin ETFs, hashrate markets and AI have fundamentally reshaped the industry, reducing miners’ dependence on bitcoin’s price. Here’s why mining is no longer just a bet on bitcoin, and what this means for investors.
2024: The Year Bitcoin Mining Diverged From Bitcoin’s Price
In 2023, Bitcoin mining stocks behaved like a high-beta proxy for Bitcoin, amplifying its moves — soaring higher when bitcoin rallied and crashing harder when it fell. But in 2024, this pattern broke down. Despite bitcoin reaching new all-time highs, mining stocks failed to reclaim their previous peaks.
The table below illustrates the shifting correlation between Hashrate Index’s Crypto Mining Index and bitcoin’s price, comparing weekly prices and returns before and during 2024:
Source: Hashrate Index, June 2020 — December 2024
The takeaway is clear: Bitcoin mining stocks are no longer just a straightforward bet on bitcoin’s price. This divergence stems from four key trends shaping the sector:
1. Institutional Bitcoin Adoption: The Advent of Spot ETFs
The launch of spot bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 reshaped institutional investment in bitcoin. With ETFs amassing over 1.3 million BTC and surpassing $100 billion in assets under management, the appeal of mining stocks as a bitcoin proxy faded. Instead of using miners as an indirect exposure, capital flowed directly into Bitcoin via ETFs, fundamentally shifting market dynamics.
2. The Halving and Its Aftermath: A Squeeze on Miner Economics
Bitcoin’s fourth halving in April 2024 cut the block subsidy from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block, slashing miners’ primary revenue source in half. Historically, post-halving bitcoin price surges have helped offset lower rewards, but this time, miners faced additional headwinds:
Record-high network difficulty. Rising competition reduced individual miner rewards.
Falling transaction fees. Lower demand for blockspace diminished a crucial secondary revenue stream.
Hashprice collapse. Despite bitcoin’s rally, hashprice, an all-in measure of mining revenue per unit of computation (i.e., hashrate), plummeted 75%.
While bitcoin’s price soared 120% throughout the year, miners struggled to maintain profitability, leading to consolidation and strategic pivots within the industry.
Source: Hashrate Index
3. The Rise of Hashrate Derivatives: A Game-Changer for Miners
One of the most significant financial developments in bitcoin mining in 2024 was the rapid expansion of the hashrate derivatives market. This emerging market allowed miners to hedge future revenue streams and reduce exposure to bitcoin price volatility, fundamentally changing how they manage risk.
Traditionally, mining revenues were at the mercy of bitcoin’s daily price swings, making it difficult for operators to forecast cash flows or secure financing. However, with the rise of hashrate forward markets, miners could sell future hashrate production at a fixed price, locking in revenue months in advance. This financial instrument functions similarly to commodity futures in the energy sector, where electricity producers pre-sell power contracts to stabilize income.
In 2024, these once-nascent markets saw explosive growth. Over-the-counter (OTC) volumes surged more than 500% year-over-year on Luxor’s hashrate forward market, with contract durations extending up to 12 months. Meanwhile, regulated exchange trading took a major step forward with Bitnomial launching hashrate futures, making it the first regulated exchange to offer a bitcoin mining derivative product.
The maturation of hashrate forward markets signals a new era in mining finance — one where miners have greater control over their revenue streams, better access to capital, and improved resilience against bitcoin price volatility.
4. Bitcoin Mining Meets AI & HPC: A Convergence of Industries
With mining profits under pressure, many firms are pivoting to AI and high-performance computing (HPC) to diversify revenue. Bitcoin mining infrastructure shares key similarities with AI data centers — both require vast power and cooling capacity. However, the shift isn’t easy: AI infrastructure is more expensive per megawatt (millions vs. hundreds of thousands for bitcoin mining), requiring significant capital investment.
Some miners are embracing hybrid models, allocating some of their computing power to AI workloads while maintaining bitcoin mining operations. Firms like HIVE Digital Technologies, Hut 8, Core Scientific, and Bit Digital have already made the leap, securing lucrative AI contracts to grow and stabilize their cash flows.
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin mining in 2025 is no longer just about bitcoin’s price. Institutional capital, hashrate derivatives and AI-driven diversification are reshaping the industry, giving miners new tools to manage risk and optimize revenue. At the same time, post-halving pressures, rising competition and infrastructure costs have made efficiency and adaptability more critical than ever.
For investors and advisors, understanding these shifts is essential. Mining stocks no longer move in lockstep with bitcoin, and new financial instruments are changing how miners operate. As the industry continues to mature, those who recognize these structural changes will be better positioned to navigate the opportunities ahead.
— Ben Harper, director, Luxor Technology
Ask an Expert
Are bitcoin miners actually serious about breaking into the AI market?
Absolutely. Since 2022, bitcoin miners have been increasingly exploring AI and high-performance compute (HPC) business lines. Some of the earliest movers in this shift were Hut 8, Hive, IREN, Core Scientific and Bit Digital. More recently, Riot put its 600 MW expansion at Corsicana on pause to evaluate the site for AI load, Cipher received a $50 million investment from SoftBank for its own AI project, and Lancium and Crusoe Energy are building a multi-gigawatt campus for AI as part of Project Stargate.
How will bitcoin miners tackle their AI transitions? Is there a one-size-fits-all approach?
AI/HPC strategies vary from miner to miner. Hut 8 and Bit Digital, for example, have opted to acquire existing data center businesses rather than build their own data centers from scratch or retrofit existing infrastructure. Core Scientific, on the other hand, is converting the massive power assets and infrastructure it has on hand for AI/HPC load in its partnership with CoreWeave (Riot could follow a similar model should it decide to convert portions of its Corsicana campus into an AI data center). And others, like Hive and IREN, have purchased GPUs to operate AI/HPC cloud services within their existing facilities. Each of these strategies have tradeoffs (the Hut 8 and Bit Digital model are low risk, low reward, while Core Scientific’s approach is high risk, high reward), and we will have a better idea of which approach is the most successful over the next few years.
With strong market demand for AI, will bitcoin miners still mine bitcoin?
For now, plenty of bitcoin miners — including MARA, Cleanspark and Bitfarms — are still focusing on bitcoin mining instead of chasing the AI/HPC golden rabbit. Even if bitcoin miners convert parts of their infrastructure into AI/HPC load, they will likely still mine bitcoin, even if they reduce their focus on this pursuit. Ultimately, bitcoin mining and AI/HPC are more complementary than competitive, as miners can use bitcoin mining to monetize energy that they have already paid for when AI/HPC demand is low.
— Colin Harper, editor-in-chief, Blockspace Media
Keep Reading
The first ever bitcoin mining ETF is live, recently launched by Grayscale.
Sixteen U.S. states are eyeing bitcoin strategic reserves, along with the federal government.
At a press conference on Tuesday, U.S. crypto and AI czar David Sacks discussed regulatory clarity, fostering innovation, consumer protection, bitcoin reserves and stablecoins, among other topics.
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Memecoins Under Pressure as SHIB, Dogecoin Slide After Shibarium Loses $2.4M in Hack

Top meme tokens traded under pressure as a multimillion dollar hack of Shiba Inu’s layer-2 network, Shibarium, dented investor confidence in joke cryptocurrencies.
On Sunday, Shibarium fell victim to a flash loan attack on its validator system, which drained about $2.4 million in ether (ETH) and SHIB. The CoinDesk Memecoin Index has dropped 6.6% in the past 24 hours. The broader market CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20) is down just 2.3%.
The attacker borrowed 4.6 million BONE, the governance token for the Shiba Inu ecosystem, often linked to the decentralized exchange (DEX) ShibaSwap, through a flash loan to gain control of the majority of validator keys. The keys act as gatekeepers of the network, confirming transactions and ensuring security.
With that control, the attacker was able to game the system into approving unauthorized transactions and walk away with a large amount of crypto assets from the bridge that connects Shibarium with the Ethereum blockchain. The process is akin to someone temporarily taking over a bank’s security system to approve unauthorized withdrawals. A flash loan is a loan raised with no upfront collateral and returns the borrowed assets within the same blockchain transaction.
The Shiba inu team was able to prevent a bigger, more serious breach because the BONE tokens used to gain control were reportedly tied to validator 1 and remained locked by the staking rules.
Nevertheless, markets reacted negatively breach, which again underscores the perennial security issues with blockchain technology.
Memecoins drop, broader market bid
SHIB fell by the most in three weeks on Sunday (UTC), losing 4% $0.00001369, and has continued to weaken to trade recently at $0.00001359. The cryptocurrency experienced considerable volatility throughout the 23-hour trading window ended Sept. 15 at 02:00 UTC, with the aggregate range encompassing $0.000006191, a 4% oscillation from peak to trough.
The session commenced with pre-dawn fragility as SHIB retreated from $0.000014156 to establish a pivotal trough of $0.000013547 at 14:00 UTC. Volume of 1.064 trillion tokens surpassed the 24-hour mean, signaling robust distribution pressure and prospective capitulation, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis model.
The BONE token, which initially doubled to over 36 cents, is now down over 2% on a 24-hour basis, trading at around 20 cents.
According to the technical analysis model:
- SHIB established a critical underpinning at $0.000013547 during elevated volume selling pressure exceeding 1.064 trillion tokens.
- The token constructed successive higher lows and consolidation parameters between $0.000013600-$0.000013780.
- Recovery momentum is demonstrated by ascending channel formations with sustained higher lows, indicating potential continuation towards the $0.000014000 resistance.
- Volume patterns exceeded 24-hour averages during the decline phase, confirming potential capitulation levels.
- Terminal hour trading exhibited decisive upward momentum with 1% appreciation, confirming a breach above the resistance threshold.
Large DOGE transfers add to bearish sentiment
Meanwhile, SHIB’s peer dogecoin (DOGE) fell 4% to 27.80 cents on Sunday and has since lost further 5% to 27.36 cents, according CoinDesk data.
A massive transfer of DOGE to a centralized exchange likely added to the bearish mood in the market. According to Whale Alert, crypto exchange OKX received 119,306,143 DOGE, worth over $34 million, from an unknown wallet. Such large transfers are typically associated with an intention to liquidate holdings.
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Fed Rate Decision, MKR-SKY Conversion Deadline: Crypto Week Ahead

The U.S. Federal Reserve is likely to dominate markets, both crypto and traditional, in the coming week. Traders are positioned for a rate cut of at least 25 basis points when the Fed announces its decision on Sept. 17, according to CME’s Fedwatch tool.
What to Watch
- Crypto
- Sept. 16, 12 p.m. ET: Solana AMA on X.
- Sept. 18: Mavryk Network launches its mainnet and native MVRK token.
- Sept. 18: Rex-Osprey Dogecoin ETF expected to begin trading on Cboe BZX Exchange under ticker DOJE.
- Sept. 18: Unipoly Chain (UNP) mainnet launch.
- Macro
- Sept. 16: Brazil July unemployment rate Est. N/A (Prev. 5.8%).
- Sept. 16: Canada August headline CPI YoY Est. N/A (Prev. 1.7%), MoM Est. N/A (Prev. 0.3%); core YoY Est. N/A (Prev. 2.6%), MoM Est. N/A (Prev. 0.1%).
- Sept. 16: U.K. July unemployment rate Est. 4.7%.
- Sept. 17: U.K. August headline CPI YoY Est. 3.9%. MoM Est. N/A (Prev. 0.1%); core YoY Est. 3.7%, MoM Est. N/A (Prev. 0.2%).
- Sept. 17: Canada benchmark interest rate Est. N/A (Prev. 2.75%) followed by a press conference.
- Sept. 17: The Fed’s FOMC decision on U.S. interest rates. Est: 25 bps cut to 4.00%-4.25% followed by a press conference.
- Sept. 17: Brazil benchmark interest rate Est. N/A (Prev. 15%).
- Sept. 18: Bank of England decision on U.K. interest rates. Est: unchanged at 4%.
- Sept. 19: Bank of Japan interest-rate decision. Est: unchanged at 0.5%.
- Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
- Sept. 18: Lite Strategy (MEIP), pre-market
Token Events
- Governance votes & calls
- Curve DAO is voting to changes to donation-enabled Twocrypto contracts. Voting ends Sept. 16.
- Sept. 16: Aster Network to host a community call.
- MantleDAO is voting on keeping the 2025-2026 budget at $52 million USDc and 200 million MNT. Voting ends Sept. 18
- Sept. 18, 6 a.m.: Mantle to host Mantle State of Mind, a monthly townhall series.
- Sept. 16, 12 p.m.:Kava to host a community Ask Me Anything (AMA) session.
- Sept. 23: SwissBorg to make a live announcement.
- Unlocks
- Sept. 15: Starknet (STRK) to unlock 5.98% of its circulating supply worth $17.09 million.
- Sept. 15: Sei (SEI) to unlock 1.18% of its circulating supply worth $18.06 million.
- Sept. 16: Arbitrum (ARB) to unlock 2.03% of its circulating supply worth $48.16 million.
- Sept. 17: ZKsync (ZK) to unlock 3.61% of its circulating supply worth $10.54 million.
- Sept. 18: Fasttoken (FTN) to unlock 2.08% of its circulating supply worth $89.8 million
- Sept. 20: Velo (VELO) to unlock 13.63% of its circulating supply worth $43.39 million.
- Sept. 20: KAITO (KAITO) to unlock 3.15% of its circulating supply worth $10.1 million.
- Token Launches
- Sept. 15: OpenLedger (OPENLEDGER) to be listed on Crypto.com.
- Sept. 18: Deadline to convert MKR to SKY before the delayed upgrade penalty takes effect.
- Sept. 20: Reserve Rights (RSR) to conduct a token burn.
- Sept. 22: Falcon Finance to host community sale on Buidlpad.
Conferences
- Sept.12-15: ETHTokyo 2025 (Tokyo, Japan)
- Sept. 15: TGE Summit 2025 (New York)
- Sept. 15-21: Budapest Blockchain Week 2025 (Budapest, Hungary)
- Sept. 16-17: Real-World Asset Summit (New York)
- Sept. 17: The Bitcoin Treasuries NYC Unconference (New York)
- Sept. 17-19: AIBC 2025 (Tokyo, Japan)
- Sept. 18: CBC Summit USA (Washington)
- Sept. 19: DEF-AI 2025 (Tblisi, Georgia)
- Sept. 17-20: Nomad Capitalist Live 2025 (Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia)
- Sept. 21: XRP Seoul 2025 (Seoul, South Korea)
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Bank of England’s Proposed Stablecoin Ownership Limits are Unworkable, Says Crypto Group

The Financial Times (FT) reported on Monday that cryptocurrency groups are urging the Bank of England (BoE) to scrap proposals limiting the amount of stablecoins individuals and businesses can own.
The group warned that the rules would leave the UK with stricter oversight than the U.S. or the European Union (EU).
According to the FT, BoE officials plan to impose caps of 10,000 british pounds to 20,000 british pounds ($13,600–$27,200) for individuals and about 10 million british pounds ($13.6 million) for businesses on all systemic stablecoins, defined as tokens already widely used for payments in the U.K. or expected to be in the future.
The central bank has argued the restrictions are needed to prevent outflows of deposits from banks that could weaken credit provision and financial stability.
The FT cited Sasha Mills, the BoE’s executive director for financial market infrastructure, as saying the limits would mitigate risks from sudden deposit withdrawals and the scaling of new systemic payment systems.
However, industry executives told the FT the plan is unworkable.
Tom Duff Gordon, Coinbase’s vice president of international policy, said “imposing caps on stablecoins is bad for U.K. savers, bad for the City and bad for sterling,” adding that no other major jurisdiction has imposed such limits.
Simon Jennings of the UK cryptoasset business council said enforcement would be nearly impossible without new systems such as digital IDs. Riccardo Tordera-Ricchi of The Payments Association told the FT that limits “make no sense” because there are no caps on cash or bank accounts.
The U.S. enacted the GENIUS Act in July, which establishes a federal framework for payment stablecoins. The law sets licensing, reserve and redemption standards for issuers, with no caps on individual holdings. The European Union has also moved ahead with its Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), which is now fully in effect across the bloc.
Stablecoin-specific rules for asset-referenced and e-money tokens took effect on June 30, 2024, followed by broader provisions for crypto-assets and service providers on Dec. 30, 2024. Like the U.S. approach, MiCA does not cap holdings, instead focusing on reserves, governance and oversight by national regulators.
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