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What Next for Bitcoin, Ether, XRP as Donald Trump Eyes Further Tariffs?

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Donald Trump’s decision to levy tariffs may have turned market sentiment linked to his pro-crypto promises, causing a steep drop in bitcoin (BTC) and majors in the past 24 hours.

Traders believe Monday’s bloodbath could turn out to be a buy-the-dip opportunity for several reasons, stemming from the eventual growth of and demand for dollar-backed stablecoins.

“One bullish take is for stablecoins,” Peter Chung, head at Presto Research, told CoinDesk in a Telegram message.

“Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has noted recently that Trump prefers tariffs over sanctions as a diplomatic tool, as the latter push countries away from the dollar, weakening U.S. financial hegemony. If that’s the case, Trump would likely prioritize the Stablecoin Bill in Congress, as it would enhance the dollar’s functionality, reinforcing its global dominance,» Chung said.

Vincent Liu, chief investment officer at Kronos Research, mirrored the sentiment.

«With ongoing concerns over tariff escalations and currency volatility—illustrated by the Canadian dollar’s decline against the USD since tariffs were introduced—stablecoins pegged to major fiat could see accelerated adoption,” Liu said.

“As a hedge against economic uncertainty, they streamline global transactions, remove forex conversion hurdles, and provide a seamless gateway into crypto. In the long run, increased stablecoin adoption could enhance liquidity, attract institutional capital, and drive regulatory clarity. This evolution may position stablecoins as a cornerstone of the crypto economy, reinforcing market stability and fueling sustained growth,” Liu added.

A $2.2 billion flush from rypto futures since Sunday may also provide the bedrock for short-term respite. High liquidations can often signal an overstretched market and indicate the end of a price correction, making it favorable to buy after a steep fall.

Price-chart areas with high liquidation volumes can act as support or resistance levels where the price might reverse due to the absence of further selling pressure from liquidated positions.

However, if the market continues declining, those with short positions might see this as validation, potentially increasing their bets. Conversely, contrarian traders might view heavy liquidation as a buying opportunity, expecting a price recovery once the sell-off momentum wanes.

What Happened?

Trump imposed a 25% tariff on goods from Canada and Mexico and a 10% tariff on imports from China over the weekend. The move seemingly started a trade war: Canada countered with a 25% tariff on $106 billion worth of U.S. goods, and Mexico is expected to implement similar measures.

Two-year Treasury yields increased, while the 10-year yield decreased, indicating concerns about short-term inflation. Asian markets fell on Monday, gold prices dropped, oil rose, and crypto market tanked.

Trump is also eying tariffs on goods imported from the European Union, which could come “pretty soon,” per the BBC. The EU said it would act as a collective and «respond firmly» if and when tariffs come in, indicating retaliatory taxes.

The core idea of tariffs is to make imports more expensive, thereby encouraging domestic production and reducing reliance on foreign goods. This is part of a broader strategy to use trade policy to leverage better terms for the U.S. in international trade negotiations.

However, tariffs increase the cost of goods exported to the U.S., which can hurt these countries’ economies by reducing demand for their products. If one country imposes tariffs, others might respond with their own, leading to a cycle of escalating trade barriers.

Tariffs disrupt established supply chains, which are often globalized. Increasing costs or blocking certain goods can lead to shortages or higher prices elsewhere, prompting further protectionist measures from affected countries — leading to more disruption in financial markets.

The lack of forthcoming catalysts may mean crypto markets are stuck in a lull period, except for a strong, isolated catalyst that directly bumps up bitcoin.

“Sentiment has turned negative with little hope that things can turn around, except for a potential Bitcoin Strategic Reserve and more regulatory support from the government,” Nick Ruck, director at LVRG Research, told CoinDesk in a Telegram message.

“Although the market conditions are vastly different, tariffs from the previous Trump administration could be a showcase for tariff announcements, which were only short-term shocks to crypto prices while the general bullish trend remained intact,” Ruck added.

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Robinhood, Kraken-Backed Global Dollar (USDG) Comes to Europe

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Global Dollar (USDG), a stablecoin issued by regulated fintech Paxos, and backed by a consortium of heavy hitters that includes Robinhood, Kraken and Mastercard, is being made available to consumers across the European Union, according to a press release on Tuesday.

USDG is regulated by Europe’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA), the Finnish Financial Supervisory Authority (FIN-FSA), and the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), Paxos said in a statement.

Demand for U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins is growing in Europe where Circle’s USDC token is the largest MiCA-regulated choice. USDG will make a significant impact as an alternative regulated option, Paxos said.

“USDG is a fully regulated global USD-stablecoin that is compliant with MiCA and now available in the EU, a testament to our commitment to offering global digital assets that are supervised by prudential regulators and also meet the highest standards of consumer protection,” said Walter Hessert, head of strategy at Paxos.

Fulfilling requirements under the EU’s MiCA regulation necessitates that Paxos Issuance Europe, which is regulated by FIN-FSA, holds a portion of USDG reserve assets with European banking partners, Paxos said.

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XRP, TRX, DOGE Lead Majors With Positive Funding Rates as Bitcoin’s Traditionally Weak Quarter Begins

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A key metric called perpetual funding rates is signaling bullishness for top altcoins as bitcoin (BTC) kicks off the traditionally weak third quarter quarter with flat price action.

Funding rates, charged by exchanges every eight hours, refer to the cost of holding bullish long or bearish short positions in the perpetual (perps) futures (with no expiry).

A positive funding rate indicates that perps are trading at a premium to the spot price, necessitating a payment from longs to shorts to maintain bullish bets. Therefore, positive rates are interpreted as representing bullish sentiment, while negative rates suggest otherwise.

As of writing, perps tied to payments-focused token XRP (XRP), the world’s fourth-largest digital asset by market value, had an annualized funding rate of nearly 11%, the highest among the top 10 tokens, according to data source Velo. Funding rates for Tron’s TRX (TRX) and dogecoin (DOGE) were 10% and 8.4%, respectively, while rates for market leaders bitcoin and ether were marginally positive.

In other words, the XRP market demonstrated the strongest demand for leveraged bullish exposure among other major cryptocurrencies, including BTC and ether (ETH). That’s consistent with the spike in bullish sentiment for XRP last week, despite the settlement between Ripple and the SEC stalling, as noted by Santiment.

Funding rates for cryptocurrencies. (Velo Data)

Privacy-focused monero (XMR) stood among tokens beyond the top 10 list with a funding rate of over 23%, while Stellar’s XLM token signaled a strong bias for bearish bets with a funding rate of 24%.

Seasonally weak quarter

Historically, the third quarter has been a weak period for bitcoin, with data indicating an average gain of 5.57% since 2013, according to Coinglass. That’s a far cry compared to the fourth quarter’s 85% average gain.

BTC’s spot price remained flat at around $107,000 at press time, offering no clear direction bias. Valuations have been stuck largely between $100,000 and $110,000 for nearly 50 days, with selling by long-term holder wallets counteracting persistent inflows into the U.S.-listed spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Some analysts, however, expect a significant move to occur soon, with all eyes on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech on Tuesday and the release of nonfarm payrolls on Friday.

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Asia Morning Briefing: Are Distributed Compute Tokens Undervalued vs. CoreWeave (CRWV)?

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Tech investors love to pay for potential. GameFi tokens, with sky-high valuations divorced from current user numbers or revenues, embody this optimism perfectly — as CoinDesk investigated in 2022, Decentraland’s then billion-dollar market cap didn’t quite match the number of active players on the platform.

But, surprisingly, distributed compute tokens don’t seem to enjoy the same speculative premium even when compared to their Traditional Finance traded peers like CoreWeave (CRWV).

CoinMarketCap says the category of tokens for decentralized networks that provide GPU power for AI and other compute workloads, which includes well-known tokens like BitTensor, Aethir, and Render, is worth $12 billion.

At the same time, market data from research group MarketsandMarkets puts the value of the GPU as a service industry at around $8 billion this year, growing to $26 billion in 2030.

In contrast, CRWV closed Monday in New York at $163, putting its market cap at $79.2 billion. The company’s recent earnings forecast up to $5.1 billion in 2025 revenue, suggesting it trades at more than 15 times forward sales.

That kind of multiple might be justified in a high-growth environment, but CoreWeave also posted a $314.6 million net loss in the first quarter, driven in part by stock-based compensation and continued infrastructure buildout.

Despite this, investors continue to reward CoreWeave for its dominant position in centralized AI infrastructure with its stock up 300% year-to-date. The company is tightly integrated with Nvidia and has high visibility through contracts with OpenAI and other enterprise clients.

Meanwhile, decentralized compute networks are delivering similar services— AI inference, rendering, and compute power — without needing to raise billions in debt or equity as they act as a broker connecting existing GPUs to users, saving the capital expenditure of buying their own server farms.

These are not theoretical networks. They are functional systems already processing real workloads, and the brokerage model works for customers.

Yet their collective market value remains a fraction of CoreWeave’s. Certainly, they don’t have the same level of workload running through their networks, but the gap is striking. While the market treats GameFi with irrational exuberance, distributed compute tokens may be suffering from the opposite problem.

Despite addressing the same market need as CoreWeave, and in some ways offering a more capital-efficient and globally scalable model without the eye-watering CapEx, they remain modestly valued.

Justin Sun-Backed SRM Entertainment Announces $100 Million TRX Staking Move

SRM Entertainment (Nasdaq: SRM), soon to rebrand as TRON Inc., has staked its entire treasury of 365 million TRX tokens through JustLend, a move that could yield an annual return of up to 10%, according to a release.

The move comes on the heels of a $100 million investment round closed earlier this month to fund what the company calls a “TRON treasury strategy,” essentially, a public market vehicle modeled on bitcoin-holding firms like MicroStrategy, but for TRX.

That structure provides equity investors with indirect exposure to a network that plays a dominant role in USDT stablecoin settlement, particularly in the Global South, where TRON-based Tether serves as a dollar lifeline – arguably a ‘Visa IPO‘ moment for the region’s economy.

Sogni AI Debuts Mainnet, SOGNI Token to List on Kraken, MEXC, Gate.io

Sogni AI, a decentralized platform for generative AI workflows, has launched its mainnet and will list its native token, SOGNI, on Kraken, MEXC, and Gate.io.

SOGNI is the utility token of the Sogni Supernet. It is used for compute payments, staking, governance, and access to advanced application features.

The mainnet launch includes deployments on Base, an Ethereum Layer-2 developed by Coinbase, and Etherlink, a Tezos-based EVM-compatible Layer-2 using Smart Rollups. In a release, the platform said this chain-agnostic approach is designed to balance scalability and accessibility.

The project’s stated goal is to create an open and economically sustainable environment for creative AI applications, combining Web3 infrastructure with user tools that resemble Web2 services in usability.

The platform also uses a non-transferable credit system called Spark Points, which are fixed-value rendering credits that can be purchased or earned within the Sogni ecosystem.

Users interact with the network through three core applications: Sogni Web, Sogni Pocket, and Sogni Studio. Creators submit generative AI jobs, while node operators, or “Workers,” provide GPU resources and are compensated in SOGNI tokens.

Market Movements:

  • BTC: Bitcoin is trading at $107,200, holding a strong support zone after a 14,695 BTC volume spike near $107K, with traders eyeing a potential breakout toward $115,000.
  • ETH: Ethereum rebounded sharply from a 3.4% intraday drop, currently trading at $2,480, forming a V-shaped recovery off $2,438 support, as institutional inflows continue despite broader market uncertainty.
  • Gold: Gold is trading at $3,310.95, rebounding from a one-month low as a weaker dollar and Fed pressure offset risk-on sentiment.
  • Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed Tuesday as investors weighed Wall Street’s record highs against looming uncertainty from Trump’s expiring 90-day tariff reprieve, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 down 0.58%
  • S&P 500: Stocks climbed Monday as the S&P 500 rose 0.52% to a record close of 6,204.95, capping a strong month.

Elsewhere in Crypto:

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