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Here Are Two Reasons Why XRP Price May Slide: Godbole

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Payments-focused cryptocurrency XRP’s short-term outlook appears grim as traditional financial giants do not seem interested in looking beyond BTC and ETH, while price action indicates signs of rally fatigue.

On Wednesday, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) denied its plans to list futures tied to XRP and Solana’s SOL token. This swift denial likely indicates that institutions are not ready yet to dabble with tokens other than bitcoin and ether or potential regulatory hurdles. The CME is the preferred venue for institutions to trade futures and options tied to BTC and ETH.

The CME’s denial — at least for now — may be particularly concerning for XRP as it undermines the optimism surrounding XRP’s prospects under Donald Trump’s presidency. XRP surged to $3.4 early this month after Ripple’s CEO Brad Garlinghouse met Trump, spurring hopes for positive developments that could accelerate institutional adoption. Analysts had viewed the meeting as a bullish sign for XRP. Ripple uses XRP primarily as a digital currency to facilitate cross-border payments and remittances.

Rally fatigue

As XRP’s price surged close to record highs last week, the Mayer Multiple – which compares the spot price to the 200-day simple moving average – failed to reach new highs and remained below its December peak, indicating a bearish divergence.

This divergence signals a weakening bullish momentum and raises the potential for a price drop. Additionally, the MACD histogram, a tool used to identify trend strength and changes, supports this view by printing lower highs above the zero line.

XRP changed hands at $3.05, representing a 4% drop on a 24-hour basis, according to CoinDesk data. Altcoins, in general, are volatile and tend to follow BTC. So, a rally in BTC could lift XRP above its recent high, invalidating the bearish chart signals.

Read More: Solana, XRP Jump as Trump Reportedly Mulls ‘America-First’ Strategic Crypto Reserve, but Experts Suggest Otherwise

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Michael Saylor’s Strategy Added 4,980 Bitcoin Last Week, Bringing Stack to 597,325 Coins

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Strategy (MSTR), the largest publicly traded company holding bitcoin (BTC), boosted its BTC reserves by buying 4,980 BTC for a total of $531.9 million last week.

This addition brings Strategy’s total bitcoin holdings to 597,235 BTC purchased for $42.4 billion, or an average price of $70,982 each. At bitcoin’s current price of about $107,500, that stack is worth more than $64 billion.

Strategy financed the purchase through $519 million of common share sales alongside about $59 million of STRK and STRF preferred stock sales.

MSTR shares are up 1.3% premarket.

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Spanish Police Arrest 5 in Suspected $540M Crypto Fraud Operation

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Spanish police arrested five members of a suspected crypto fraud operation that allegedly laundered 460 million euros ($540 million) stolen from over 5,000 victims.

The bust, carried out by Guarda Civil, the armed wing of the country’s law enforcement agencies, saw three arrests from searches in the Canary Islands and two in Madrid on June 25.

The investigation was supported Europol, as well as police forces from Estonia, France and the U.S.

The criminal network raised funds through cash withdrawals, bank transfers and crypto payments, Europol said in a statement on Monday.

Investigators suspect the organization of having set up a corporate and banking network out of Hong Kong to receive, store and transfer criminal funds through accounts in different names and in different exchanges.

The investigation is still in progress, Europol added.

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Bitcoin-Gold Price Ratio’s 10% Surge Greenlights Bullish Flag Pattern: Technical Analysis

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This is a daily technical analysis by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.

The ratio between the per-piece dollar price of bitcoin (BTC) and gold’s (XAU) per-ounce dollar-denominated price rose over 10% to 33.33 last week, registering its best performance in two months, according to data source TradingView.

The double-digit gain, representing BTC’s outperformance relative to gold, marked a breakout from the bull flag pattern. The so-called flag breakout signals a continuation of the rally from lows near 24.85 reached on April 11.

A bull flag pattern is characterized by a sharp uptrend followed by a relatively brief counter-trend consolidation that usually refreshes higher, as is the case with the BTC-gold ratio.

The flag breakout is said to extend the upside by an amount equivalent to the magnitude of the initial rally. So, the ratio could rise to 42.00, topping the record high of 40.73 hit in December.

BTC/Gold ratio and BTC/USD's daily charts. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

Previous uptrends in the ratio have been characterized by sharp upswings in BTC’s dollar-denominated price, as observed in late 2024 and in April and May, rather than gold dropping more than BTC.

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