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Don’t Expect Bitcoin Fireworks Ahead of New Year, Traders Say, as BTC ETFs Lose $420M

Bearish trading in bitcoin (BTC) markets continued late Monday as the asset briefly fell under $92,000 on profit-taking despite another mammoth MicroStrategy purchase, recovering to just over $92,800 as of Asian morning hours Tuesday.
Some traders expect the current price action to likely continue until February, weeks after president-elect Donald Trump takes office in the U.S. and sets into motion a barrage of policies that may help the market.
«We are skeptical of any New Year fireworks especially with funding healthy,» traders at Singapore-based QCP Capital said in a Telegram broadcast. «January’s average returns (+3.3%) are relatively similar to December’s (+4.8%), and we could expect spot to remain in this range in the near-term before things start to pick from Feb onwards.»
«Options flows are also reflecting similar sentiments with frontend vols drifting lower and risk-reversals most bid for Calls in March, partly due to significant March (120k-130k) Calls bought last Friday,» they added. This means traders are betting on bitcoin prices going up in March. They’re buying more call options (which profit if the stock rises) than put options. The cost of these options is going down, showing optimism for the March period.
BTC is on track to end December down 4%, its worst since 2021, as both retail investors and long-term holders cash out positions after a 117% yearly surge. Elsewhere, readings of the U.S. Chicago PMI indicate an economic slowdown, adding pressure on the market that tends to be correlated to such data.
In what looks to have been its final purchase of the year, Bitcoin development company MicroStrategy increased its BTC stash for the eighth consecutive week on Monday, adding another 2,138 BTC for $209 million in the week ended Dec. 29. That brought its total holdings to 446,400 BTC.
But news of the buying did little to stem losses. BTC prices slumped in the hours following MicroStrategy’s announcement, while shares of the company fell 8% to their lowest since early November.
The fall spread over to majors, with ether (ETH), XRP, Solana’s SOL and Cardano’s ADA falling as much as 3% before recovering. BNB Chain’s BNB was little changed, while memecoins dogecoin (DOGE) and shiba inu (SHIB) fell 5%.
The broad-based CoinDesk 20 (CD20), an index tracking the largest tokens by market capitalization, minus stablecoins, lost 2.7% in the past 24 hours.
Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) holding the asset recorded $420 million in outflows in their second-last day of trading ahead of the new year, data shows. Fidelity’s FBTC lost $154 million to lead outflows, followed by Grayscale’s GBTC at $130 million and BlackRock’s IBIT at $36 million.
The products have recorded more than $1.5 billion in net outflows since Dec. 19, pausing an impressive run in the first half of the month that saw nearly $2 billion in net inflows. Large outflows can reflect a shift in investor sentiment, possibly moving toward a more cautious or bearish outlook on bitcoin’s short-term performance.
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AVAX Surges 10.7% as Bullish Breakout Signals Strong Momentum

Avalanche’s AVAX token has broken out of its multi-week correction phase, demonstrating remarkable strength despite ongoing geopolitical tensions affecting cryptocurrency markets.
The broader market gauge, CoinDesk 20 Index (DLCS), has demonstrated exceptional bullish momentum, surging from 1403.33 to 1461.17 in the last 48 hours, representing a 4.12% gain, while the overall range spans 95.56 points (6.97%) from the low of 1365.61 to the high of 1461.17.
The recent price action of AVAX shows accelerated momentum with the formation of a bull flag pattern and decisive breakout above $20.40, coinciding with significant institutional developments in the ecosystem, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data.
Technical Analysis Highlights
- AVAX demonstrated remarkable strength, surging from 18.87 to 20.89, representing a 10.7% gain.
- Price action reveals a clear bullish trend with higher lows forming a strong support trendline around 19.50.
- After consolidating between 19.30-19.70 on April 20, AVAX experienced a significant breakout on April 21, with volume increasing substantially as the price pushed above 20.00.
- The most recent 48 hours show accelerated momentum with the formation of a bull flag pattern and a decisive breakout above 20.40, suggesting further upside potential.
- Key resistance at 20.90 now becomes the level to watch, with Fibonacci extension targets pointing to 21.50 as the next significant objective.
- In the last 100 minutes, AVAX surged from 20.61 to 21.04, representing a 2.1% gain.
- After consolidating between 20.50-20.60 during the 13:20-13:40 timeframe, price formed a solid base before initiating a powerful upward move.
- The decisive breakout occurred at 14:40 with extraordinary volume (146,387 units), creating a strong support level at 20.80.
- Multiple high-volume candles followed between 14:44-14:48, pushing the price through the critical 21.00 psychological barrier with the highest volume spike (142,112 units) at 14:47.
- This breakout completes the bullish pattern established in the previous 48 hours, with Fibonacci extension targets now suggesting 21.50 as the next significant objective.
Disclaimer: This article was generated with AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy. This article may include information from external sources, which are listed below when applicable.
External References:
- «Avalanche (AVAX), Toncoin (TON) and Kaspa (KAS): Can They Recover?« — CryptoDaily, published April 2025.
- «Avalanche (AVAX), Polkadot (DOT) Rebound on the Horizon? Harmonic Pattern Signals Bullish Move» — Bitzo, published April 2025. — Bitzo, published April 2025. — Bitzo, published April 2025.
- «Avalanche Price Prediction« — Cryptopolitan, published April 2025.
- «Avalanche Card Unveiled: Will It Spark Bullish Momentum for AVAX?« — Coinpedia, published April 2025.
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Janover Buys Another $11.5M in SOL, Gets Renamed Amid Crypto Treasury Strategy Play

Janover (JNVR), the real estate-focused fintech company with a Solana (SOL) treasury strategy, has been renamed to DeFi Development Corp and purchased another $11.5 million worth of SOL tokens, the firm said on Tuesday.
The move brings the company’s total SOL holdings to 251,842, including staking rewards, the company said. That’s valued at around $36.5 million, with SOL currently trading around $145.
JNVR shares were down 2.5% today at $38.3, well below last week’s peak just shy of $80. However, the stock is still up over 800% since adopting the crypto treasury strategy. SOL advanced nearly 5% over the past 24 hours, with the broader crypto market climbing higher.
The purchase was part of the Boca Raton, Florida-based company’s new crypto bet to position itself as the first U.S.-listed company with a treasury strategy centered on Solana and its native token SOL.
As part of the strategy, the firm seeks to accumulate SOL and operate one or more validators to secure the blockchain. The pivot happened after a team of former executives of crypto exchange Kraken bought a majority stake in the firm earlier this month.
Read more: Janover Takes Page From Saylor Playbook, Doubling SOL Stack to $20M as Stock Soars 1700%
The purchase was made using funds from a $42 million financing round the company completed earlier this year. Based on the latest figures, each share of the company represents 0.17 SOL, up 62% from its last crypto purchase, according to the press release.
The firm will also change its ticker to DFSV on the Nasdaq exchange at a future date to reflect its new name.
Last week, the company announced a strategic partnership with Kraken with plans to delegate part of the exchange’s SOL holdings to stake to validators operated by DeFi Development Corp. The firm also teamed up with BitGo to acquire locked tokens via over-the-counter markets.
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Arch Labs Raises $13M in Funding for Bitcoin-Based Smart Contracts

Bitcoin decentralized finance (DeFi) developer Arch Labs raised $13 million in funding toward building «ArchVM,» which the developers say will provide smart-contract functionality on the original blockchain.
The funding round, which valued the company at $200 million, was led by Pantera Capital, according to an announcement on Tuesday.
Arch’s plans to enable decentralized applications and protocols natively on Bitcoin.
ArchVM will handle off-chain computations to enable «Turing-complete smart contracts at the Bitcoin base layer» and provide Solana-like transaction speeds, Arch Labs said in the announcement.
The goal of introducing smart contracts to Bitcoin began to gather steam in October with the release of the BitVM computing language.
Numerous projects are now using BitVM as the basis for bringing smart contracts to Bitvcoin via layer-2 networks or bridges. Arch’s aim is to avoid the need to bridge assets to layer-2s, which could present additional risks.
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