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Investment Advisers to Supplant Hedge Funds as Top BTC ETF Holders in 2025: CF Benchmarks
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Investment advisers will probably overtake hedge funds as the biggest holders of U.S.-listed spot bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) next year, CF Benchmarks said Monday.
A total of 11 spot BTC ETFs debuted in the U.S. on Jan. 11, providing a way for investors to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency without personally having to hold and store it. Since their inception, they have accumulated over $36 billion in investor funds.
Demand has been dominated by hedge-fund managers, who own 45.3% of the ETFs. Investment advisers, the gatekeepers to retail and high-net-worth capital, are a distant second at 28%.
That’s set to change in 2025, according to CF Benchmarks, which predicts investment advisers’ share will rise above 50% in both the BTC and ether (ETH) ETF markets. CF Benchmarks is a U.K.-regulated index provider behind several key digital asset benchmarks, including the BRRNY, referred by many ETFs.
«We expect Investment advisor allocations to rise beyond 50% for both assets, as the $88 trillion U.S. wealth management industry begins to embrace these vehicles, eclipsing 2024’s combined record-breaking $40 billion in net flows,» CF Benchmarks’ said in an annual report shared with CoinDesk.
«This transformation, driven by growing client demand, deeper understanding of digital assets, and product maturation, will likely reshape the current ownership mix as these products become staples in model portfolios,» the index provider said.
Investment advisers are already in pole position in the ether ETF market and are likely to extend their lead next year.
Ether’s parent blockchain, Ethereum, is expected to benefit from the growing popularity of asset tokenization while rival Solana could continue to gain market share on potential regulatory clarity in the U.S.
«We expect the trend towards asset tokenization to accelerate in 2025, with
tokenized RWAs topping $30B,» the report said, referring to real-world assets.
In stablecoins, new entrants like Ripple’s RLUSD and Paxos’ USDG are expected to challenge the dominance of tether’s USDT, whose market share has increased from 50% to 70%.
The scalability of blockchains will also be tested, and the expected increase in active user adoption due to regulatory clarity under President-elect Donald Trump’s administration may require on-chain capacity to double to over 1600 TPS.
Last but not least, the Federal Reserve is seen turning dovish, employing unconventional measures like yield curve control or expanded asset purchases to address the toxic mix of higher debt servicing costs and a weak labor market.
«Deeper debt monetization should elevate inflation expectations, bolstering hard assets like Bitcoin as hedges against monetary debasement,» the report said.
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Ether on the Verge of ‘Death Cross’ Pattern; SOL, DOGE, BNB Below 200-Day Average
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USDe Issuer Ethena Labs Integrates Chaos Labs’ Edge Proof of Reserves Oracles to Strengthen Risk Management
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Ethena Labs has integrated Chaos Labs’ data authenticity technology, Edge Proof oracles, to strengthen the risk management framework for its synthetic dollar token USDe.
Edge oracles will independently verify the total dollar value of the USDe’s reserves and the reserve coverage of USDe’s supply and confirm that reserves are governance-approved and delta-neutral. Chaos Labs shared the announcement exclusively with CoinDesk.
USDe, a synthetic stablecoin, maintains a soft peg with the U.S. dollar through an automated delta-hedging strategy that shorts bitcoin and ether perpetual futures to offset changes in the prices of these cryptocurrencies.
The synthetic stablecoin experienced volatility over the weekend, falling to 0.982 against tether and 0.988 against USDC, per Kaiko, amid fears that the protocol has multi-million dollar exposure to Bybit’s ether (ETH) derivatives market. The exchange was hacked late Friday, with a malicious entity draining over $1 billion in ether.
The so-called de-peg, however, was short-lived as Ethena assured investors that all assets backing USDe were held off-exchange and its reserve fund was more than enough to compensate for any losses from the Bybit exploit.
The integration with Chaos Labs adds another layer of credibility to USDe’s reserves, ensuring they stay secure and transparent.
The Edge Proof of Reserves (PoR) oracles will constantly monitor the reserve levels of tokens and check the collateral backing them. This is done by smoothly integrating off-chain data from custodians and centralized exchanges into the on-chain environment, ensuring scalable and robust support for institutional-grade applications.
The integration also provides automated alerts to notify users of any data anomalies or if reserve levels fall below the required thresholds. Verified data is publicly displayed on Ethena’s transparency page and attestor interfaces, keeping stakeholders informed.
«This integration ensures continuous, independent verification of reserves, fostering greater transparency and security for all users. By leveraging real-time, tamper-resistant data, Ethena reinforces its commitment to a robust and reliable synthetic dollar,» the announcement said.
Chaos Labs’ Edge oracle leverages zero-knowledge proofs to ensure security and privacy while providing real-time and transparent data verification, including for reserves held off-chain or across different blockchains.
These oracles have secured over $70 billion in volume, delivering risk management to decentralized finance (DeFi) giants like AAVE, Jupiter, GMX, and Tether.
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Binance Open Bitcoin Futures Bets Jump By Over $1B as BTC Chalks Out Bearish Candlestick Pattern: Godbole
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Bitcoin (BTC) dipped below $92,000 during the overnight trade, revisiting levels that have proven resilient multiple times since December. However, the latest move comes with a notable uptick in perpetual futures open interest and price action that indicates seller dominance.
The number of open futures bets or open interest in the BTC/USDT pair trading on Binance rose by roughly 12,000 BTC (worth over $1 billion) as BTC’s price fell from $96,000 to under $92,000, according to data tracked by Coinglass.
An uptick in open interest alongside a price decline is said to represent an influx of bearish short positions. In other words, traders likely opened fresh shorts as the price dropped, perhaps in anticipation of an extended sell-off.
The cumulative volume delta (CVD) across both futures and spot markets on the exchange was already negative and has deepened further with the price drop, indicating that selling pressure has outpaced buying activity.
The CVD measures the net capital flows into the market, where positive and rising figures indicate buyer dominance, while negative values reflect increased selling pressure.
BTC chalks out bearish marubozu candle
Bitcoin dropped 4.86% on Monday with sellers dominating the price action throughout the day.
That’s reflected in the shape of Monday’s candlestick, which features negligible upper and lower shadows and a prominent red body. In other words, opening and closing prices are almost the same, a sign buyers had little say in the price action.
Technical analysts categorize this as a bearish marubozu pattern. The appearance of the bearish candlestick while prices hover below key 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMA) may embolden sellers, potentially leading to deeper losses.
Support (S) is seen near $89,200, the Jan. 13 low, followed by the 200-day SMA at $81,661. On the flip side, the Feb. 21 high of around $99,520 is the level to beat (R).
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