Connect with us

Uncategorized

Bitcoin Could Hit as High as $124k Before Year-End, Says ARK Invest Analyst

Published

on

Bitcoin (<a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin?_gl=1*16vsd1c*_up*MQ..*_ga*MTA1ODY0MTAzMy4xNzMyODIwOTk0*_ga_VM3STRYVN8*MTczMjgyMDk5NC4xLjAuMTczMjgyMDk5NC4wLjAuMTk0NjQyMDA3Ng..» target=»_blank»>BTC</a>) has slumped back to $95,000 after coming within a few hundred dollars of passing the symbolic $100,000 price level. But the largest cryptocurrency is only catching its breath before surging to newer heights, according to investment management firm ARK Invest.

“We’re more or less anticipating $104,000 to $124,000 price targets by end of year,” David Puell, one of the firm’s research associates, told CoinDesk in an interview. “With the caveat that it’s not a recommendation, but so far, price action has kept up to that projection quite nicely.”

Puell’s calculus is based on bitcoin’s seasonality — a term referring to the ways the asset has behaved in various stages of previous bull markets — as well as on-chain metrics. In Puell’s view, cycles are very much still at play until any strong evidence of the contrary, meaning that he eventually expects a top to form and for bitcoin to experience another serious pullback like in 2022.

“I would classify the current market environment as a sort of middle of the bull,” Puell said. “If you’re measuring bottom to top, I would say we’re at about 55% to 65% of the way there.” That currently places the bitcoin cycle top at roughly $126,000 to $134,000 according to on-chain metrics, he said, though these price targets could move higher “if the market accelerates to the upside.”

That would lend to the theory that bitcoin returns are diminishing each cycle as the asset matures — a $134,000 top would mean bitcoin would have only doubled its valuation compared to its 2021 top of $69,000. Back then, bitcoin had managed to triple its price compared to the 2017 cycle. Puell said ARK Invest was ready for such a scenario of diminishing returns, but that data was inconclusive so far.

At the beginning of the year, ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood <a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/01/11/cathie-wood-sees-bitcoin-price-reaching-15m-by-2030-after-etf-approval» target=»_blank»>laid out</a> a bullish target of $1 million to $1.5 million per bitcoin by 2030, with a base target of $650,000. Price will likely be buoyed by the incoming Trump administration, Puell said, depending on who the President-elect picks as chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and how accommodative towards risk-on assets the Federal Reserve’s policy turns out to be. Not to mention the prospect of a strategic bitcoin reserve.

“Monetary policy and the SEC stance are the things to focus on. But the analogy I would use is that a strategic bitcoin reserve wouldn’t be just like the cherry on top — it would be like a whole new cake on top of a cake,” Puell said.

But that doesn’t mean bitcoin will keep soaring forever. Seasonality and cycles mean that eventually, the top cryptocurrency could suffer another bear market, and eventually plunge 70% from its all-time high, Puell said. The price floor will depend, then, on how high bitcoin can go before the music stops.

Read more: <a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/28/bitcoin-to-overcome-100-k-despite-pullback-has-plenty-of-more-room-before-topping-crypto-quant» target=»_blank»>Bitcoin to Overcome $100K Despite Pullback, Has Plenty of More Room Before Topping: CryptoQuant</a>

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Ваш адрес email не будет опубликован. Обязательные поля помечены *

Uncategorized

Is Ethereum’s DeFi Future on L2s? Liquidity, Innovation Say Perhaps Yes

Published

on

By

Ethereum is in the midst of a paradox. Even as ether hit record highs in late August, decentralized finance (DeFi) activity on Ethereum’s layer-1 (L1) looks muted compared to its peak in late 2021. Fees collected on mainnet in August were just $44 million, a 44% drop from the prior month.

Meanwhile, layer-2 (L2) networks like Arbitrum and Base are booming, with $20 billion and $15 billion in total value locked (TVL) respectively.

This divergence raises a crucial question: are L2s cannibalizing Ethereum’s DeFi activity, or is the ecosystem evolving into a multi-layered financial architecture?

AJ Warner, the chief strategy officer of Offchain Labs, the developer firm behind layer-2 Arbitrum, argues that the metrics are more nuanced than just layer-2 DeFi chipping at the layer 1.

In an interview with CoinDesk, Warner said that focusing solely on TVL misses the point, and that Ethereum is increasingly functioning as crypto’s “global settlement layer,” a foundation for high-value issuance and institutional activity. Products like Franklin Templeton’s tokenized funds or BlackRock’s BUIDL product launch directly on Ethereum L1 — activity that isn’t fully captured in DeFi metrics but underscores Ethereum’s role as the bedrock of crypto finance.

Ethereum as a layer-1 blockchain is the secure but relatively slow and expensive base network. Layer-2s are scaling networks built on top of it, designed to handle transactions faster and at a fraction of the cost before ultimately settling back to Ethereum for security. That’s why they’ve become so appealing to traders and builders alike. Metrics like TVL, the amount of crypto deposited in DeFi protocols, highlight this shift, as activity is moved to L2s where lower fees and quicker confirmations make everyday DeFi far more practical.

Warner likens Ethereum’s place in the ecosystem to a wire transfer in traditional finance: trusted, secure and used for large-scale settlement. Everyday transactions, however, are migrating to L2s — the Venmos and PayPals of crypto.

“Ethereum was never going to be a monolithic blockchain with all the activity happening on it,” Warner told CoinDesk. Instead, it’s meant to anchor security while enabling rollups to execute faster, cheaper and more diverse applications.

Layer 2s, which have exploded over the last few years because they are seen as the faster and cheaper alternative to Ethereum, enable whole categories of DeFi that don’t function as well on mainnet. Fast-paced trading strategies, like arbitraging price differences between exchanges or running perpetual futures, don’t work well on Ethereum’s slower 12-second blocks. But on Arbitrum, where transactions finalize in under a second, those same strategies become possible, Warner explained. This is apparent, as Ethereum has had fewer than 50 million transactions over the last month, compared to Base’s 328 million transactions and Arbitrum’s 77 million transactions, according to L2Beat.

Builders also see L2s as an ideal testing ground. Alice Hou, a research analyst at Messari, pointed to innovations like Uniswap V4’s hooks, customizable features that can be iterated far more cheaply on L2s before going mainstream. For developers, quicker confirmations and lower costs are more than a convenience: they expand what’s possible.

“L2s provide a natural playground to test these kinds of innovations, and once a hook achieves breakout popularity, it could attract new types of users who engage with DeFi in ways that weren’t feasible on L1,” Hou said.

But the shift isn’t just about technology. Liquidity providers are responding to incentives. Hou said that data shows smaller liquidity providers increasingly prefer L2s where yield incentives and lower slippage amplify returns. Larger liquidity providers, however, still cluster on Ethereum, prioritizing security and depth of liquidity over bigger yields.

Aave TVL (Messari Dashboard/ Alice Hou)

Interestingly, while L2s are capturing more activity, flagship DeFi protocols like Aave and Uniswap still lean heavily on mainnet. Aave has consistently kept about 90% of its TVL on Ethereum. With Uniswap however, there’s been an incremental shift towards L2 activity.

Uniswap L2 activity (Dune dashboard/ Alice Hou)

Another factor accelerating L2 adoption is user experience. Wallets, bridges and fiat on-ramps increasingly steer newcomers directly to L2s, Hou said. Ultimately, the data suggests the L1 vs. L2 debate isn’t zero-sum.

As of September 2025, about a third of L2 TVL still comes bridged from Ethereum, another third is natively minted, and the rest comes via external bridges.

“This mix shows that while Ethereum remains a key source of liquidity, L2s are also developing their own native ecosystems and attracting cross-chain assets,” Hou said.

Ethereum thus as a base layer appears to be cementing itself as the secure settlement engine for global finance, while rollups like Arbitrum and Base are emerging as execution layers for fast, cheap and creative DeFi applications.

“Most payments I make use something like Zelle or PayPal… but when I bought my home, I used a wire. That’s somewhat parallel to what’s happening between Ethereum layer one and layer twos,” Warner of Offchain Labs said.

Read more: Ethereum DeFi Lags Behind, Even as Ether Price Crossed Record Highs

Continue Reading

Uncategorized

CoinDesk 20 Performance Update: Avalanche (AVAX) Gains 4.6% as Index Moves Higher

Published

on

By

CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.

The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 4267.12, up 0.7% (+27.81) since 4 p.m. ET on Monday.

9am CoinDesk 20 Update for 2025-09-16: vertical

Eighteen of 20 assets is trading higher.

Leaders: AVAX (+4.6%) and NEAR (+2.9%).

Laggards: AAVE (-0.9%) and BCH (-0.2%).

The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.

Continue Reading

Uncategorized

Santander’s Openbank Starts Offering Crypto Trading in Germany, Spain Coming Soon

Published

on

By

The digital banking arm of Spanish financial giant Santander Group, Openbank, opened cryptocurrency trading for customers in Germany, with plans to add its home market in the next few weeks.

The new service allows users to buy, sell and hold five popular cryptocurrencies: bitcoin (BTC), ether (ETH), litecoin (LTC), polygon (MATIC) and cardano (ADA), according to a press release. The cryptocurrencies are available alongside stocks, ETFs and investment funds.

Customers can trade without moving funds to an external platform, keeping all investments in one place under Santander’s umbrella, the bank said.

“By incorporating the main cryptocurrencies into our investment platform, we are responding to the demand of some of our customers,” said Coty de Monteverde, head of crypto at Grupo Santander.

The bank charges a 1.49% fee per transaction, with a 1 euro ($1.2) minimum, and does not include custody fees. The bank said it plans to add more cryptocurrencies and new features, such as crypto-to-crypto conversions, in coming months.

Santander Private Bank was back in 2023 making headlines when it started letting clients with accounts in Switzerland trade BTC and ETH. It selected crypto safekeeping technology firm Taurus for custody.

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2017 Zox News Theme. Theme by MVP Themes, powered by WordPress.