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Crypto Market Bloodbath: Three Reasons Traders Are in Risk-Off Mode

As of the time of writing, according to CoinDesk Data, BTC was trading at around $113,648, down 1.4% in the past 24 hours. ETH, XRP, SOL and DOGE posted steeper declines, with ETH down 3.7% to $3,503, XRP off 1.5% at $2.94, SOL down 2.7% at $164.13 and DOGE dropping 3.7% to $0.1993. The downturn followed a string of economic and geopolitical shocks on Friday that rattled investor sentiment across both equity and digital asset markets.
U.S. stocks also closed sharply lower on Friday, with the Dow down 1.23%, the S&P 500 off 1.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite plunging 2.24% as traders digested a disappointing jobs report, heightened tensions with Russia and the possibility of emergency monetary easing.
The July Jobs Report Was a Disaster — and a Surprise
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported Friday that the U.S. economy added just 73,000 jobs in July — well below expectations. More troubling, however, was a downward revision of 258,000 jobs to the combined May and June totals, effectively erasing most of the labor market gains previously reported for the second quarter.
The unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, but long-term unemployment climbed by 179,000 to 1.8 million. The number of new entrants to the job market jumped by 275,000, indicating more Americans are looking for work but struggling to find it. Labor force participation held steady at 62.2%, while the employment-to-population ratio ticked down year over year.
Although job growth continued in health care and social assistance, employment across most major industries — including manufacturing, construction, financial services and tech —showed little to no change. Markets interpreted the data as a clear signal that the labor market is weakening faster than expected.
Trump Accuses BLS of Election Interference, Orders Chief Fired
President Trump responded swiftly and publicly to the jobs report, posting a scathing message on Truth Social that accused Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner Erika McEntarfer — a Biden appointee — of manipulating employment data in the run-up to the 2024 election.
“This is the same Bureau of Labor Statistics that overstated the Jobs Growth in March 2024 by approximately 818,000 and, then again, right before the 2024 Presidential Election,” Trump wrote. “These were Records — No one can be that wrong?”
He added: “I have directed my Team to fire this Biden Political Appointee, IMMEDIATELY.”
The post alarmed investors, who viewed the rhetoric as a politicization of U.S. statistical institutions. The removal of a federal official responsible for economic data, based on claims of election-related bias, added to Friday’s volatility, especially for rate-sensitive and risk-on assets like crypto.
Trump’s Nuclear Submarine Post Escalates Russia Tensions
Later Friday, Trump again took to Truth Social, this time revealing that he had ordered two U.S. nuclear submarines to reposition in response to recent remarks by Dmitry Medvedev, the former Russian president and current deputy chairman of Russia’s Security Council.
“Based on the highly provocative statements of the Former President of Russia… I have ordered two Nuclear Submarines to be positioned in the appropriate regions,” Trump wrote. “I hope this will not be one of those instances” where words lead to “unintended consequences.”
The unexpected message — delivered without prior briefing or Pentagon confirmation — sparked concern that diplomatic tensions with Moscow had entered a new phase.
Some viewed Trump’s language as deliberate posturing rather than a genuine military threat, aimed at pressuring Russian President Vladimir Putin to consider a ceasefire in Ukraine. However, even if the statement was not intended as a signal of imminent action, it still made the possibility of a U.S.-Russia nuclear confrontation —however unlikely — feel more real. Traders — already reeling from Friday morning’s jobs report — respond by dumping risk assets in favor of safer bets like Treasurys and cash.
Fed Rate Cut Expectations Rise — But So Do U.S. Recession Fears
Friday’s dismal labor data led traders to dramatically increase bets on a rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s September FOMC meeting, with many now expecting a 50 basis point reduction. But the prospect of easier monetary policy did little to reassure markets.
That’s because rate cuts are no longer viewed as a preemptive move to boost growth — they’re now seen as a reaction to economic weakness that may already be unfolding. In this context, monetary easing can be interpreted as confirmation of deteriorating conditions, rather than a bullish catalyst.
For crypto markets, which often mirror tech-sector sentiment, the shift in narrative weighed heavily. Despite the potential for lower real yields, the fear of a looming recession overshadowed any short-term optimism. The result: widespread selling across the digital asset space and renewed caution ahead of key macro events later this month.
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XLM Sees Heavy Volatility as Institutional Selling Weighs on Price

Stellar’s XLM token endured sharp swings over the past 24 hours, tumbling 3% as institutional selling pressure dominated order books. The asset declined from $0.39 to $0.38 between September 14 at 15:00 and September 15 at 14:00, with trading volumes peaking at 101.32 million—nearly triple its 24-hour average. The heaviest liquidation struck during the morning hours of September 15, when XLM collapsed from $0.395 to $0.376 within two hours, establishing $0.395 as firm resistance while tentative support formed near $0.375.
Despite the broader downtrend, intraday action highlighted moments of resilience. From 13:15 to 14:14 on September 15, XLM staged a brief recovery, jumping from $0.378 to a session high of $0.383 before closing the hour at $0.380. Trading volume surged above 10 million units during this window, with 3.45 million changing hands in a single minute as bulls attempted to push past resistance. While sellers capped momentum, the consolidation zone around $0.380–$0.381 now represents a potential support base.
Market dynamics suggest distribution patterns consistent with institutional profit-taking. The persistent supply overhead has reinforced resistance at $0.395, where repeated rally attempts have failed, while the emergence of support near $0.375 reflects opportunistic buying during liquidation waves. For traders, the $0.375–$0.395 band has become the key battleground that will define near-term direction.
Technical Indicators
- XLM retreated 3% from $0.39 to $0.38 during the previous 24-hours from 14 September 15:00 to 15 September 14:00.
- Trading volume peaked at 101.32 million during the 08:00 hour, nearly triple the 24-hour average of 24.47 million.
- Strong resistance established around $0.395 level during morning selloff.
- Key support emerged near $0.375 where buying interest materialized.
- Price range of $0.019 representing 5% volatility between peak and trough.
- Recovery attempts reached $0.383 by 13:00 before encountering selling pressure.
- Consolidation pattern formed around $0.380-$0.381 zone suggesting new support level.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
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HBAR Tumbles 5% as Institutional Investors Trigger Mass Selloff

Hedera Hashgraph’s HBAR token endured steep losses over a volatile 24-hour window between September 14 and 15, falling 5% from $0.24 to $0.23. The token’s trading range expanded by $0.01 — a move often linked to outsized institutional activity — as heavy corporate selling overwhelmed support levels. The sharpest move came between 07:00 and 08:00 UTC on September 15, when concentrated liquidation drove prices lower after days of resistance around $0.24.
Institutional trading volumes surged during the session, with more than 126 million tokens changing hands on the morning of September 15 — nearly three times the norm for corporate flows. Market participants attributed the spike to portfolio rebalancing by large stakeholders, with enterprise adoption jitters and mounting regulatory scrutiny providing the backdrop for the selloff.
Recovery efforts briefly emerged during the final hour of trading, when corporate buyers tested the $0.24 level before retreating. Between 13:32 and 13:35 UTC, one accumulation push saw 2.47 million tokens deployed in an effort to establish a price floor. Still, buying momentum ultimately faltered, with HBAR settling back into support at $0.23.
The turbulence underscores the token’s vulnerability to institutional distribution events. Analysts point to the failed breakout above $0.24 as confirmation of fresh resistance, with $0.23 now serving as the critical support zone. The surge in volume suggests major corporate participants are repositioning ahead of regulatory shifts, leaving HBAR’s near-term outlook dependent on whether enterprise buyers can mount sustained defenses above key support.
Technical Indicators Summary
- Corporate resistance levels crystallized at $0.24 where institutional selling pressure consistently overwhelmed enterprise buying interest across multiple trading sessions.
- Institutional support structures emerged around $0.23 levels where corporate buying programs have systematically absorbed selling pressure from retail and smaller institutional participants.
- The unprecedented trading volume surge to 126.38 million tokens during the 08:00 morning session reflects enterprise-scale distribution strategies that overwhelmed corporate demand across major trading platforms.
- Subsequent institutional momentum proved unsustainable as systematic selling pressure resumed between 13:37-13:44, driving corporate participants back toward $0.23 support zones with sustained volumes exceeding 1 million tokens, indicating ongoing institutional distribution.
- Final trading periods exhibited diminishing corporate activity with zero recorded volume between 13:13-14:14, suggesting institutional participants adopted defensive positioning strategies as HBAR consolidated at $0.23 amid enterprise uncertainty.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
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Dogecoin Inches Closer to Wall Street With First Meme Coin ETF

The first exchange-traded fund (ETF) built around a meme coin could hit the market this week, after multiple delays and much speculation.
The DOGE ETF — formally called the Rex Shares-Osprey Dogecoin ETF (DOJE) — was originally slated to debut last week, alongside a handful of politically themed and crypto-related ETFs. Those included funds tied to Bonk (BONK), XRP, Bitcoin (BTC) and even a Trump-themed fund. But DOJE’s debut never materialized.
Now, Bloomberg ETF analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart believe Wednesday is the most likely launch date, though they caution nothing is certain.
“It’s more likely than not,” Seyffart said. “That seems like the base case.”
Ahead of the introduction of the ETF, DOGE has been among the top performers over the past month, ahead 15% even including a decline of 3.5% over the past 24 horus.
If launched, DOJE would mark a milestone as the first U.S. ETF to focus on a meme coin — cryptocurrencies that generally lack utility or a clear economic purpose. These include tokens like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Bonk, which often surge in popularity thanks to internet culture, celebrity endorsements and speculative trading.
Balchunas described DOJE’s significance in a post on X: “First-ever US ETF to hold something that has no utility on purpose.”
DOJE is not a spot ETF. That means it won’t hold DOGE directly. Instead, the fund will use a Cayman Islands-based subsidiary to gain exposure through futures and other derivatives. This approach sidesteps the need for physical custody of the coin while still offering traders a way to bet on its performance within a traditional brokerage account.
The ETF was approved earlier this month under the Investment Company Act of 1940, which is typically used for mutual funds and diversified ETFs. That sets it apart from the wave of bitcoin ETFs that received green lights under the Securities Act of 1933, a framework used for commodity-based and asset-backed products. In short, DOJE is structured more like a mutual fund than a commodity trust.
More direct exposure may be coming soon. Several firms have filed applications to launch spot DOGE ETFs, which would hold the meme coin itself rather than derivatives. These applications are still under review by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which has grown more comfortable with crypto ETFs since approving a slate of bitcoin products in early 2024.
The broader crypto market has shown that investor demand can outweigh fundamental critiques. Meme coins have long drawn skepticism for having no underlying value or use case, but that hasn’t kept them from drawing billions in speculative capital.
Seyffart said the ETF market is likely to follow the same path. “There’s going to be a bunch of products like this, whether you love it or need it, they’re going to be coming to market,” he said.
He added that many existing financial products serve no deeper purpose than providing a vehicle for short-term bets. “There’s plenty of products out there that are just being used as gambling or short-term trading,” he said. “So if there’s an audience for this in the crypto world, I wouldn’t be surprised at all if this finds an audience in the ETF and TradFi world.”
Whether the DOJE ETF opens the door to more meme coin funds — or just proves the concept is viable — may depend on how the market responds this week. Either way, it signals a new phase in the merging of internet culture and traditional finance.
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