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Bitcoin Bulls Increase Exposure as Trump’s Pressure on Fed Pushes $15B Into BTC ETFs, Analyst Says

The U.S.-listed spot bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have attracted billions in investor capital in three months, amid increasing political pressure on the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut rates.
The relentless flows are now forcing «under-positioned» traders to chase upside through derivatives, reviving the bullish momentum in the cryptocurrency, according to Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research.
«The sharp surge in bitcoin ETF inflows since late April 2025 has been primarily driven by political pressure on the Federal Reserve, with Donald Trump openly demanding that Chair Jerome Powell cut rates to 1% and resign. What began as a partisan push has since broadened, with Federal Housing Finance Agency director Bill Pulte and Senator Cynthia Lummis also calling for Powell to step down, criticizing his perceived hawkish stance,» Thielen said in a note to clients Thursday.
Trump’s repeated attacks on the Federal Reserve have revived memories of Turkish President Erdogan’s similar actions between 2019 and 2021, which led to a broad-based shift away from Turkish assets and a crash in the Lira. Back then, Erdogan issued multiple decrees dismissing central bank officials for not cutting rates.
Meanwhile, Trump has repeatedly called for Powell’s resignation, saying his reluctance to cut rates is costing America billions of dollars. The minutes of the Fed meeting held on July 17-18 showed a growing divide over how policy should proceed from here. According to CNBC, Opinions ranged from a «couple» of officials who said the next cut could come as soon as this month to «some» who thought no reductions this year would be appropriate.
Under-positioned bulls re-enter
The relentless ETF flows, combined with growing pressure on the Fed to cut rates, are finally forcing traders, who have been hesitant to commit to bullish trades, to re-enter the market fully.
«Since mid-April, Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated $15 billion worth of Bitcoin, and notably, this buying has continued uninterrupted, even as Bitcoin has consolidated since mid-May. This steady demand now appears to be forcing underpositioned traders back into the market, as suggested by positioning data from the derivatives space,» Thielen said.
Traders have been chasing call options at strikes $130,000, as CoinDesk noted early this week. A call option represents a bullish bet on the market, with the demand for the $ 130,000 call reflecting expectations for a price surge above that level.
These bullish flows are consistent with the positive seasonality typically observed in July. Data tracked by Coinglass shows BTC has put in a positive performance in July in eight out of the past 12 years, with an average gain of over 7%.
«Combined with historically strong seasonality in July and potential bullish catalysts from upcoming macro data and policy developments, the backdrop remains supportive for further upside,» Thielen noted.
Bitcoin hit a record high of nearly $112,000 on some exchanges late Wednesday, according to data source CoinDesk.
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Crypto Traders Eye $130K Bitcoin as Majors Price-Action Shows Market Structure Shift

Bitcoin’s rally to $120,000 this week has sparked a broader breakout across major crypto assets, with ether (ETH), Solana’s SOL, XRP, and dogecoin (DOGE) all posting high single-digit percentage gains.
However, this time, price action isn’t just about momentum, as traders claim that market structure is evolving under the weight of institutional influence.
“This isn’t a frenzied boom with no foundation,” said Seamus Rocca, CEO of Xapo Bank. “It’s a measured ascent, backed up by large institutional players with the long-term in mind.”
Rocca pointed to tight monetary policy and geopolitical volatility as reinforcing Bitcoin’s emerging role as a macro hedge, adding that “the momentum we’ve seen over the last 48 hours is clear. Bitcoin isn’t just growing in value, but also as a genuine asset class that is rivalling traditional finance.”
Ethereum, up over 17% on the week and briefly crossed $3,000, remains a primary beneficiary. «In Q2, corporate treasury purchases of BTC outpaced inflows into spot ETFs,» said the analytics team at Bitcoin yield protocol TeraHash in a note to CoinDesk.
«That points to strategic positioning. At the same time, custodians like Anchorage and Fidelity are scaling institutional pipelines, while OTC desks are tightening spreads.»
Solana, now trading around $163, gained over 11% on the week amid renewed demand across retail and memecoin ecosystems. The chain continues to act as a high-beta proxy for risk-on sentiment. XRP, meanwhile, jumped 25%, benefiting from both a technical breakout and rising speculation around regulatory resolution.
“Price action may grab the spotlight,” TeraHash added, “but the real breakthrough this summer is structural.”
The altcoin move is broad-based. Dogecoin has rallied 23% over the past week, driven by increased retail participation through platforms like Robinhood and Binance. XRP volumes have spiked on Korean exchanges, while Cardano, TRX, and AVAX are all trading firmly in the green.
Meanwhile, Bitpanda Deputy CEO Lukas Enzersdorfer-Konrad said that “strong bitcoin rallies are often followed by significant movements in altcoins with a slight delay — and a potential comeback of meme coins can’t be ruled out either.”
But not everyone sees a straight line up.
“Despite briefly touching this key milestone, BTC remains below a major resistance zone,” said Ruslan Lienkha, Chief of Markets at YouHodler, said in an email.
“A decisive breakout and sustained move above this level could trigger a sharp upward rally, potentially targeting the $130,000 range,” Lienkha added.
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DOGE Surges 9% Before Sharp Reversal as $0.213 Resistance Halts Rally

What to know:
- DOGE advanced 8.6% from $0.198 to $0.213 between July 11 06:00 and July 12 05:00 before closing at $0.202 — a full retracement of its intraday gains.
- Trading volumes surged past 1.1B during the 13:00–15:00 session, establishing resistance between $0.208–$0.213.
- Support held at $0.200–$0.201 through late-session volatility, with final hour price action stabilizing around $0.202.
- Analysts flagged the rejection at $0.211 (20:00) as evidence of systematic profit-taking by larger holders.
News Background: BTC Record, Risk-On Flows Drive Meme Coin Rally
Bitcoin touched an all-time high of $118,000 during the session, as crypto markets benefited from a surge in institutional inflows — estimated at $50B this week alone.
Easing geopolitical tensions, improving trade relations, and dovish signals from central banks have boosted risk assets across the board. Dogecoin, typically a high-beta play during crypto rallies, surged alongside altcoins in response.
Price Action Summary
- Range: $0.198 → $0.213 → $0.202 | Total swing: 8.6%
- Breakout Zone: $0.200–$0.208 cleared on strong volume
- Resistance: $0.208–$0.213, with reversal from $0.211
- Support: $0.200–$0.201 tested and held multiple times
- Final Hour (04:55–05:54): Price rose from $0.200 → $0.202 (+0.5%)
- Volume Peak: 1.1B between 13:00–15:00; 19M during 05:00–05:10 late surge
Technical Analysis
- Mid-session momentum broke above key resistance zones but failed to sustain above $0.213
- Volume-backed reversal near session high suggests strategic exits by institutions
- Final-hour recovery shows $0.200 remains psychologically significant
- Momentum cooling; near-term consolidation expected in $0.200–$0.204 band
What Traders Are Watching
- Can DOGE reclaim and hold above $0.208–$0.210 to retest highs?
- Breakdown below $0.198–$0.200 would signal trend exhaustion
- Consolidation above $0.202 would support a bullish continuation setup into next week
- Broader BTC and macro risk sentiment will continue to dictate altcoin flows
Takeaway
DOGE followed broader crypto markets higher with a clean intraday breakout — but its rejection at $0.213 and sharp pullback highlight the fragile nature of meme coin rallies during high volatility sessions.
Institutional flows remain, but traders should watch for volume confirmation before chasing upside. $0.200 is now the line in the sand.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
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Why is XRP Up Today? Whale-Driven Rally Sends Ripple to Nearly $3

What to know:
- XRP rallied 8% from $2.58 to $2.78 between July 11 06:00 and July 12 05:00, with an intraday high of $2.96 at 15:00 before retracing.
- Afternoon price action saw exceptional volume — over 375M between 13:00–15:00 — with buyers repeatedly defending the $2.70–$2.75 zone.
- A $14.03M leveraged long was opened on Hyperliquid at $2.30, signaling aggressive whale positioning.
- Analysts now target $2.90–$3.40 as the next resistance band, citing bullish structure and capital inflows.
- News Background
Whale wallets have ramped up exposure in recent sessions, most notably with a $14M long established on derivatives venue Hyperliquid. - The trade coincides with a breakout from an ascending triangle structure and a growing belief among technical analysts that the $2.90 region, once cleared, could spark a fast leg toward $3.40 and beyond.
- This comes as Ripple’s broader ecosystem — including RLUSD stablecoin momentum and cross-border settlement integrations — continues to attract institutional interest.
Price Action Summary
- Range: $0.35 | Low: $2.58 → High: $2.96
- Peak Time: 15:00 | Sharp retracement followed, but price held above $2.70
- Support Zone: $2.70–$2.75, where demand remained intact through multiple tests
- Final Hour (04:55–05:54): XRP rose from $2.76 → $2.79 (+1%)
- Volume Spike: 2.6M between 05:30–05:35 validated breakout toward session close
Technical Analysis
- Price formed an ascending triangle with higher lows and horizontal resistance tests
- Total trading range of $0.35 = 14% volatility on session
- Afternoon resistance at $2.96; consolidation at $2.78
- Key breakout zone remains $2.90–$3.40; breach would likely trigger accelerated upside
- Late-session breakout confirmed by real volume, not thin order books — a key bullish sign
What Traders Are Watching
- Can XRP flip $2.80–$2.85 into a new base?
- Watch for reaction near $2.90; a clean move through that zone with >200M volume may open path to $3.40
- Failure to hold above $2.70 could invite pullback toward $2.58–$2.60
- Whale long at $2.30 continues to act as downside anchor for bullish bias
Takeaway
Real flows, strong technical structure, and aggressive leveraged positioning underpin XRP’s 8% daily move. The $2.96 rejection showed local resistance, but recovery into the close points to renewed strength.
A confirmed breakout above $2.90 could mark the start of a new bullish leg — with traders already eyeing $3.40 and, in ultra-bullish cases, $5+ as long-term targets.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
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