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Asia Morning Briefing: BTC’s Institutional Waves Are Building, Not Breaking

Good Morning, Asia. Here’s what’s making news in the markets:
Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk’s Crypto Daybook Americas.
Fund manager Jeff Dyment of Saphira Group wants you to zoom out and stop sweating the short-term charts.
His thesis: Data points that suggest institutional bitcoin (BTC) buying is losing steam miss the bigger picture.
In a note shared with CoinDesk, Dyment argues that fears of fading institutional demand for bitcoin are overblown, rooted in narrow snapshots of the market.
Yes, ETF and corporate purchases have cooled recently – Michael Saylor’s Strategy bought just 16,000 BTC last month, down sharply from December’s 171,000 BTC haul. But this, Dyment insists, is not a sign of decline. It’s a natural ebb in what he calls a “cyclical wave” of adoption.
“Institutional flows often come in waves rather than a steady linear increase,” Dyment wrote. “Short-term demand fluctuations in the spot market are minor ripples on what is, in fact, a rising tide of institutional engagement.”
Dyment points to the addition of 51 new corporate BTC treasuries in the first half of 2025 alone, equal to the total from 2018 to 2022 combined, and a 375% year-over-year increase in corporate BTC buying.
Public companies now hold 848,902 BTC, or approximately 4% of the total supply, with Q2 2025 alone seeing 131,000 BTC added to their balance sheets.
He also highlights the explosive growth of Bitcoin ETFs as further evidence of deepening institutional participation. BlackRock’s IBIT fund, now the largest in the world, holds 699,000 BTC, more than 3.3% of total supply, after becoming the fastest-growing ETF in history.
U.S. spot ETFs have collectively captured approximately 1.25 million BTC, or roughly 6% of the total supply, in just 18 months since their launch, he points out in the note.
Dyment’s thesis is finding echoes in the options market.
In QCP Capital’s recent note, the Singapore-based fund pointed to whales that are continuing to build exposure to upside risk, snapping up September $130K BTC calls and holding $115K/$140K call spreads.
“Vols remain pinned near historical lows, but a decisive breach of the $110K resistance could spark a renewed volatility bid,” QCP wrote in a Monday note.
So while bears may point to stagnant spot flows and the nearly empty mempool as signs of fatigue, Dyment argues those are just surface-level ripples.
Underneath, the tide is rising, and Wall Street, with its trillions upon trillions of regulated capital, is hungry for crypto. It’s just not going to come all at once.
BTQ Pushes Quantum-Safe Framework for Stablecoins
BTQ Technologies has introduced the Quantum Stablecoin Settlement Network (QSSN), a framework designed to help banks, payment firms, and digital asset platforms future-proof stablecoin issuance against threats from quantum computing.
In a press release, BTQ detailed how the system could support quantum-secure versions of popular stablecoin models, including JPMorgan’s proposed USD deposit token (JPMD), by upgrading privileged actions like minting and burning with dual cryptographic signatures (ECDSA and Falcon-512), while preserving compatibility with existing token standards, workflows, and wallets.
The launch comes as the stablecoin market surpasses $225 billion and lawmakers push for regulation with an eye on cybersecurity.
The GENIUS Act, currently advancing in the U.S. Congress, would formalize federal standards for fiat-backed stablecoins and encourage quantum-safe architecture.
BTQ, which has worked with NIST for over a decade, aims to shape those standards and position QSSN as critical infrastructure.
Market Movements
BTC: Bitcoin fell 1.02% from July 6 at 22:00 to July 7 at 21:00, testing key support at $107,519.64 amid heavy selling, before staging a V-shaped recovery off $107,800 as on-chain data showed strong support clusters at $106,738 and $98,566 held by 1.68 million addresses, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis bot.
ETH: ETH rose 1.67% amid volatile trading, swinging nearly 3% between $2,529 and $2,604 as support at $2,530 held firm, institutional inflows topped $1.1 billion, and above-average volume marked both the surge and subsequent sell-off.
Gold: Gold dipped on a stronger dollar but rebounded on tariff-driven safe-haven demand, with central bank buying and de-dollarization fueling forecasts of a rally toward $4,000.
S&P 500: Stocks fell Monday as Trump announced new tariffs on imports from seven countries, sending the S&P 500 down 0.79% to 6,229.98.
Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific markets mostly rose despite Trump announcing steep U.S. tariffs on 14 trading partners, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 up 0.36% as duties of up to 40% were outlined for countries including South Korea, Indonesia, and Thailand.
Elsewhere in Crypto
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Elon Musk’s xAI Partners With Kalshi to Bring Grok to Prediction Markets

Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence startup xAI is partnering with regulated prediction market Kalshi to bring its chatbot Grok into the world of real-money event forecasting, the companies said Thursday.
The collaboration will allow Grok to analyze news, historical data and economic indicators in real time to support users trading on Kalshi’s federally regulated platform. Kalshi traders can place bets on specific outcomes of events like Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, Senate control, or monthly inflation figures — making Grok’s ability to summarize information quickly a potential edge.
“Kalshi and xAI are partnering to bring Grok to prediction markets. Two of the fastest growing companies in America are now on the same team,” xAI said in a post on X.
The deal brings together Musk’s latest AI venture, known for its irreverent chatbot Grok, and Kalshi, the only U.S.-regulated prediction market that offers tradable event contracts. While details of how Grok will be integrated weren’t disclosed, Bloomberg previously reported (and then retracted) in May that both companies are committing “significant engineering resources” to the project.
The announcement also adds complexity to xAI and Musk’s broader prediction market strategy.
Earlier this year, xAI and X named Polymarket — an unregulated crypto-based competitor to Kalshi — as their official prediction market partner. Now, with Kalshi and Polymarket effectively operating in parallel under Musk’s orbit, the market appears to be a testing ground for Grok’s AI capabilities across different regulatory frameworks.
Grok’s most recent version, Grok 4, was unveiled earlier this month, promising major upgrades in reasoning and information retrieval.
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Polkadot’s DOT Bounces After 7% Decline

Polkadot’s DOT staged a strong recovery after slumping as much as 7%, bouncing from $3.91 to $4.08 amid high trading volumes, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis model.
The model showed that DOT navigated substantial price swings during the 24-hour period from July 23 19:00 to July 24 18:00, oscillating between $3.91 and $4.20 before settling at $4.08.
Earlier this week, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) withdrew its accelerated approval for a Bitwise crypto exchange-traded fund (ETF) that plans to include DOT among its top holdings by market cap.
The bounce in Polkadot came as the wider crypto market also rose, with the broader market gauge, the Coindesk 20, recently up 1.4%.
In recent trading, DOT was 2% lower over 24 hours, trading around $4.09.
Technical Analysis:
- Overall trading range of $0.28 representing 7% volatility between $4.20 maximum and $3.91 minimum.
- Critical support level established at $3.96 with high volume confirmation exceeding 4.28 million average.
- Resistance zone identified at $4.10 level showing price rejection patterns.
- Volume spike of 73,061 during decline phase indicating institutional selling pressure.
- Recovery pattern suggests potential continuation toward $4.13 target level.
- Net decline of 2% from opening despite strong bounce from overnight lows.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
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Yuga Labs Bored Ape Yacht Club $9M Win Against Ryder Ripps Overturned, Must Better Prove Trademark Infringement

The creator of the Bored Ape Yacht Club non-fungible tokens (NFTs) needs to better prove that a «satirical» version of these tokens was meant to mislead would-be buyers, a U.S. appeals court said Wednesday, overturning a lower court ruling and sending the case back to that lower court for a new trial.
The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit ruled that a District Court finding that Ryder Ripps’ NFT collection harmed Yuga Labs’ trademarked NFTs needs to be reconsidered, though without weighing in on whether there was indeed trademark infringement — only that Yuga needed to do a better job of demonstrating that under the law at a new trial, a court document said.
Ryder Ripps and Jeremy Cahen, the duo behind the RR/BAYC NFT collection, had previously argued that their tokens were meant to be a satirical response to the actual BAYC. Yuga Labs sued in 2022, alleging trademark infringement and cybersquatting.
A partial summary judgement by a district judge found that Yuga does own trademarks to its Bored Ape Yacht Club NFT collection and that Ripps’ RR/BAYC NFT collection did cause confusion as the images did look similar. Ripps appealed the final ruling, which included an over $8 million fine to be paid to Yuga. The appeals court said that while Yuga does have priority on the trademark due to being the first to use «the Bored Ape Yacht Club marks,» it had not proven that Ripps’ NFTs were causing confusion.
Nevertheless, Yuga Labs must return to trial. «Yuga may ultimately prevail on these claims, but to do so it must convince a factfinder at trial,» the filing said.
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