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U.S. June Jobs Data Blows Through Forecasts, With 147K Added, Unemployment Rate Falling to 4.1%

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The U.S. employment picture was far stronger than forecast in June, furthering Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s insistence on remaining patient with respect to easing monetary policy.

Nonfarm payrolls grew 147,000 last month, according to a report Thursday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economist forecasts had been for job growth of 110,000. That’s also modestly up from May job growth of 144,000 (revised from an originally reported 139,000).

The unemployment rate for June was 4.1% versus an expected 4.3% and 4.2% in May.

The price of bitcoin (BTC) dipped modestly in the minutes following the report’s release to just under $109,000. Bitcoin had been on a steady climb higher in the days ahead of the report, topping $110,000 for the first time in about one month just hours ago.

U.S. stock index futures rose modestly after the data, with the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 each ahead by about 0.3%. The 10-year Treasury yield spiked nine basis points to 4.36%.

Market participants are closely monitoring economic data for signals about the Federal Reserve’s next move. While there’s been some chatter from at least a couple of Fed officials about a July rate cut, Chairman Jerome Powell has remained insistent that the economy is in a good spot and the central bank can thus stay patient as it considers the need for monetary ease.

This stance has put him directly at odds with President Trump, who has been equally insistent that the Fed needs to cut now and in a sizable way.

Prior to the Thursday morning data, traders had placed 75% odds that the Fed would hold steady at its next meeting in late July, according to CME FedWatch. At the subsequent meeting in September, however, traders are pricing in a 95% chance of one or more 25 basis point rate cuts.

Fifteen minutes following the news, the odds for holding steady in July had soared to 95% and the chances of a September move had declined to 78%.

Checking other report details, average hourly earnings rose 0.2% in June versus expectations for 0.3% and May’s 0.4%. On a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings were higher by 3.7% against forecasts for 3.9% and May’s 3.8%.

Today’s employment report was released a day early due to the July 4 holiday weekend, with the NYSE and Nasdaq closing at 1 p.m. ET and bond markets at 2 p.m. ET Thursday, while all U.S. markets will remain shut on Friday.

Weekly initial jobless claims were released as well on Thursday and are also showing strength, dipping to 233,000 from last week’s 237,000 and forecasts for 240,000.

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Crypto Trading Firm Keyrock Buys Luxembourg’s Turing Capital in Asset Management Push

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Crypto trading firm Keyrock said it’s expanding into asset and wealth management by acquiring Turing Capital, a Luxembourg-registered alternative investment fund manager.

The deal, announced on Tuesday, marks the launch of Keyrock’s Asset and Wealth Management division, a new business unit dedicated to institutional clients and private investors.

Keyrock, founded in Brussels, Belgium and best known for its work in market making, options and OTC trading, said it will fold Turing Capital’s investment strategies and Luxembourg fund management structure into its wider platform. The division will be led by Turing Capital co-founder Jorge Schnura, who joins Keyrock’s executive committee as president of the unit.

The company said the expansion will allow it to provide services across the full lifecycle of digital assets, from liquidity provision to long-term investment strategies. «In the near future, all assets will live onchain,» Schnura said, noting that the merger positions the group to capture opportunities as traditional financial products migrate to blockchain rails.

Keyrock has also applied for regulatory approval under the EU’s crypto framework MiCA through a filing with Liechtenstein’s financial regulator. If approved, the firm plans to offer portfolio management and advisory services, aiming to compete directly with traditional asset managers as well as crypto-native players.

«Today’s launch sets the stage for our longer-term ambition: bringing asset management on-chain in a way that truly meets institutional standards,» Keyrock CSO Juan David Mendieta said in a statement.

Read more: Stablecoin Payments Projected to Top $1T Annually by 2030, Market Maker Keyrock Says

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Crypto Trading Firm Keyrock Buys Luxembourg’s Turing Capital in Asset Management Push

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Crypto trading firm Keyrock said it’s expanding into asset and wealth management by acquiring Turing Capital, a Luxembourg-registered alternative investment fund manager.

The deal, announced on Tuesday, marks the launch of Keyrock’s Asset and Wealth Management division, a new business unit dedicated to institutional clients and private investors.

Keyrock, founded in Brussels, Belgium and best known for its work in market making, options and OTC trading, said it will fold Turing Capital’s investment strategies and Luxembourg fund management structure into its wider platform. The division will be led by Turing Capital co-founder Jorge Schnura, who joins Keyrock’s executive committee as president of the unit.

The company said the expansion will allow it to provide services across the full lifecycle of digital assets, from liquidity provision to long-term investment strategies. «In the near future, all assets will live onchain,» Schnura said, noting that the merger positions the group to capture opportunities as traditional financial products migrate to blockchain rails.

Keyrock has also applied for regulatory approval under the EU’s crypto framework MiCA through a filing with Liechtenstein’s financial regulator. If approved, the firm plans to offer portfolio management and advisory services, aiming to compete directly with traditional asset managers as well as crypto-native players.

«Today’s launch sets the stage for our longer-term ambition: bringing asset management on-chain in a way that truly meets institutional standards,» Keyrock CSO Juan David Mendieta said in a statement.

Read more: Stablecoin Payments Projected to Top $1T Annually by 2030, Market Maker Keyrock Says

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Gemini Shares Slide 6%, Extending Post-IPO Slump to 24%

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Gemini Space Station (GEMI), the crypto exchange founded by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, has seen its shares tumble by more than 20% since listing on the Nasdaq last Friday.

The stock is down around 6% on Tuesday, trading at $30.42, and has dropped nearly 24% over the past week. The sharp decline follows an initial surge after the company raised $425 million in its IPO, pricing shares at $28 and valuing the firm at $3.3 billion before trading began.

On its first day, GEMI spiked to $45.89 before closing at $32 — a 14% premium to its offer price. But since hitting that high, shares have plunged more than 34%, erasing most of the early enthusiasm from public market investors.

The broader crypto equity market has remained more stable. Coinbase (COIN), the largest U.S. crypto exchange, is flat over the past week. Robinhood (HOOD), which derives part of its revenue from crypto, is down 3%. Token issuer Circle (CRCL), on the other hand, is up 13% over the same period.

Part of the pressure on Gemini’s stock may stem from its financials. The company posted a $283 million net loss in the first half of 2025, following a $159 million loss in all of 2024. Despite raising fresh capital, the numbers suggest the business is still far from turning a profit.

Compass Point analyst Ed Engel noted that GEMI is currently trading at 26 times its annualized first-half revenue. That multiple — often used to gauge whether a stock is expensive — means investors are paying 26 dollars for every dollar the company is expected to generate in sales this year. For a loss-making company in a volatile sector, that’s a steep price, and could be fueling investor skepticism.

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