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XRP, TRX, DOGE Lead Majors With Positive Funding Rates as Bitcoin’s Traditionally Weak Quarter Begins

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A key metric called perpetual funding rates is signaling bullishness for top altcoins as bitcoin (BTC) kicks off the traditionally weak third quarter quarter with flat price action.

Funding rates, charged by exchanges every eight hours, refer to the cost of holding bullish long or bearish short positions in the perpetual (perps) futures (with no expiry).

A positive funding rate indicates that perps are trading at a premium to the spot price, necessitating a payment from longs to shorts to maintain bullish bets. Therefore, positive rates are interpreted as representing bullish sentiment, while negative rates suggest otherwise.

As of writing, perps tied to payments-focused token XRP (XRP), the world’s fourth-largest digital asset by market value, had an annualized funding rate of nearly 11%, the highest among the top 10 tokens, according to data source Velo. Funding rates for Tron’s TRX (TRX) and dogecoin (DOGE) were 10% and 8.4%, respectively, while rates for market leaders bitcoin and ether were marginally positive.

In other words, the XRP market demonstrated the strongest demand for leveraged bullish exposure among other major cryptocurrencies, including BTC and ether (ETH). That’s consistent with the spike in bullish sentiment for XRP last week, despite the settlement between Ripple and the SEC stalling, as noted by Santiment.

Funding rates for cryptocurrencies. (Velo Data)

Privacy-focused monero (XMR) stood among tokens beyond the top 10 list with a funding rate of over 23%, while Stellar’s XLM token signaled a strong bias for bearish bets with a funding rate of 24%.

Seasonally weak quarter

Historically, the third quarter has been a weak period for bitcoin, with data indicating an average gain of 5.57% since 2013, according to Coinglass. That’s a far cry compared to the fourth quarter’s 85% average gain.

BTC’s spot price remained flat at around $107,000 at press time, offering no clear direction bias. Valuations have been stuck largely between $100,000 and $110,000 for nearly 50 days, with selling by long-term holder wallets counteracting persistent inflows into the U.S.-listed spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Some analysts, however, expect a significant move to occur soon, with all eyes on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech on Tuesday and the release of nonfarm payrolls on Friday.

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Bitcoin Cash Surges 5%, Chalks Out Bullish Golden Cross Against BTC

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Bitcoin’s BTC offshoot bitcoin cash BCH chalked out impressive gains in the past 24 hours, bucking the weakness in BTC and the broader market.

BCH has gained over 5% from $491.25 to $516 in 24 hours, with trading volume tripling at one point as over 120,000 BCH changed hands. Prices hit a high of $528 at one point, the level last seen on Dec. 18, according to CoinDesk data.

While a high-volume rally is said to be sustainable, gains are not backed by improvement in onchain fundamentals. According to CoinDesk’s AI research, fundamentals for the Bitcoin Cash network recently hit six-year lows in daily active addresses. Per on-chain data, the network is experiencing a «critical demand deficit,» suggesting the recent price action is driven more by speculation than actual network usage or adoption.

Key AI insights

  • In the last 24 hours from June 30, 13:00 to July 1, 12:00, BCH exhibited a significant bullish trend, climbing from $491.25 to $519.65, representing a 5.8% gain.
  • The price range during this period was $37.80 (7.7%), with BCH reaching a peak of $527.37 at 03:00 on July 1 following exceptional volume support.
  • Key resistance formed around $527 with multiple tests, while support was established at $519-$520, suggesting continued bullish momentum despite the minor pullback.
  • Over 120,000 BCH changed hands at 01:00—nearly triple the 24-hour average volume, indicating strong buyer interest.
  • In the last 60 minutes from 1 July 11:30 to 12:29, BCH experienced significant volatility, initially climbing 0.55% from $519.67 to $522.55 by 11:57, before sharply declining 0.71% to close at $518.85.

BCH/BTC chalks out golden cross

The Binance-listed bitcoin cash-bitcoin (BCH/BTC) pair, which tracks the ratio between the prices of BCH and BTC, has risen nearly 20% in four weeks, hitting a six-month high of 0.0049, according to data source TradingView.

BCH’s outperformance is gathering momentum as evidenced by the bullish golden crossover of the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crossing above the 200-day SMA.

The pattern indicates that short-term momentum is now outperforming the broader trend, with the potential to evolve into a significant bull market.

BCH/BTC's daily chart. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

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Bitcoin Layer-2 Botanix Mainnet Debuts, Cuts Block Times to 5 Seconds

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The mainnet of Botanix, a network designed to bring Ethereum-equivalent utility to the Bitcoin ecosystem, has gone live, slashing the time it takes to add new blocks to five seconds from 10 minutes.

The network is compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), the software that powers the Ethereum blockchain, allowing Ethereum-based applications and smart contracts to be copied and pasted onto Bitcoin, developer Botanix Labs said in an email.

Botanix is one of several projects attempting to scale the Bitcoin blockchain and make it a more conducive venue for decentralized finance (DeFi) by enhancing its utility and programmability.

Others include Rootstock, Stacks and BOB («Build on Bitcoin»), which have all adopted the BitVM computing paradigm that can make complex computations verifiable on Bitcoin, paving the way for smart-contract provision, similar to Ethereum’s.

The expansion of Bitcoin’s utility would allow developers to take advantage of the value held in BTC, which dwarfs that of all other digital assets.

«Fully decentralized» BTCFi

Botanix Labs also emphasized its decentralized governance structure. The mainnet launch coincides with its transition to being operated by a foundation of 16 node operators. Botanix said it expects the number to grow beyond 100 in 2026.

The founding federation includes some of the biggest names in cryptocurrency, including as Mike Novogratz’s financial services firm Galaxy Digital and crypto custody specialist Fireblocks.

«If we want a world that runs on Bitcoin, we have to build systems that honor its core principles of self-custody, open participation and global fault tolerance,” Botanix Labs CEO Willem Schroé said. “Too many Bitcoiners have been burned by centralized platforms, which is why Botanix is fully decentralized at launch. No single party, including us, can touch a user’s Bitcoin.»

Several products that will form the basis of Botanix’s Bitcoin DeFi (BTCFi) offering also debuted in conjunction the mainnet launch. These include BTC-backed stablecoin Palladium and decentralized exchange Bitzy.

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South Korean Exchange Upbit to Work on Won Stablecoin With Naver Pay: Report

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South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Upbit is working with payments company Naver Pay to promote a won (KRW) stablecoin initiative, KBS reported, citing an unidentified official from Dunamu, Upbit’s parent company.

The two companies are pursing a payments business based on the stablecoin, the official said, although details remain sparse. A stablecoin is a crypto token whose value is pegged to a real-life asset such as the dollar or gold.

«We will specify the scope and methods of cooperation as soon as the relevant system is established,» the official told KBS.

Korea’s crypto-friendly president, elected at the beginning of June, has said he supports a «won-based stablecoin market,» a stance that earlier this week spurred the Bank of Korea to halt plans to roll out a central bank digital currency (CBDC).

A KRW stablecoin is likely to be an important event for local crypto traders, who have grappled with restrictions around moving KRW in and out of the country. That’s led to a large spread and arbitrage opportunities, the trade that pocketed FTX founder Sam Bankman Fried his first notable wealth.

The spread between South Korean and U.S. exchanges has often been labeled as the «kimchi premium.» The roll out of a KRW stablecoin, as long as it is tradable on-chain, would mean that traders can simply swap that stablecoin for USDT or USDC, bypassing fiat restrictions in the region and essentially ironing out any significant spreads in price.

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